Fafe vs Leça — Liga 3
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Fafe and Leça meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 20 December 2026. Fafe have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. Leça have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Fafe and 1.20 for Leça. The models give Fafe a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Leça win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Fafe
LeçaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fafe | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 83% | 78% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 67% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 17% | 22% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Fafe | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 44% | 58% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 50% | 56% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fafe | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 8% |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fafe | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Fafe (H)
Pacos Ferreira3–1
Trofense2–2
Lajense4–0
Guimaraes B1–1
Vianense0–0
Maria da Fonte2–0Leça (A)Pacos Ferreira0–1
Penafiel1–0
Mortágua2–0Trofense4–1
Paredes2–1Guimaraes B0–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Fafe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 | Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Fafe- ●Fafe have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fafe have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
Leça- ●Leça have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leça have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leça have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Leça have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FafePacos Ferreira3–1AD Marco 090–0Trofense2–2Paredes1–2Leça3–0Guimaraes B1–1Varzim08/11Vianense28/11São João Ver06/12LeçaVarzim2–0Pacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 092–0Trofense4–1Fafe0–3Paredes2–1Vianense07/11São João Ver29/11Guimaraes B06/12Top Scorers
FafeLeçaCards Given
FafeLeça