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Caldas vs União Santarém — Liga 3

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Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 13
Caldas
Caldas
4º · 1.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 49d 0h
vs
–
–
União Santarém
União Santarém
6º · 1.25 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 0h
Campo da Mata·Caldas da Rainha·Portugal·13,000
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Caldas and União Santarém meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 20 December 2026. Caldas have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. União Santarém have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Caldas and 1.21 for União Santarém. The models give Caldas a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an União Santarém win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Caldas
—
União Santarém
4º
Position
6º
1.38
PPG
1.25
38%
Win %
38%
1.25
Goals / game
1.13
1.50
Conceded / game
1.75
50%
BTTS %
45%
40%
Clean sheet %
27%
50%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Caldas
Home (4)
—
União Santarém
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
0.75
25%
Win %
25%
1.75
Goals / game
0.75
1.75
Conceded / game
2.75
67%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

CaldasHomeAwayUnião SantarémHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored80%83%75%64%71%50%
Over 1.5 Scored40%67%0%45%57%25%
Over 2.5 Scored10%17%0%18%29%0%
Failed To Score20%17%25%36%29%50%

Goals Conceded

CaldasHomeAwayUnião SantarémHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded60%67%50%73%57%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded50%67%25%36%14%75%
Over 2.5 Conceded40%50%25%27%14%50%
Clean Sheets40%33%50%27%43%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CaldasUnião Santarém
Over 0.590%91%
Over 1.560%82%
Over 2.550%64%
Over 3.550%36%
Over 4.530%27%
BTTS50%45%
BTTS & Win0%18%
BTTS & Draw20%9%
BTTS & Over 2.550%36%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%27%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CaldasUnião Santarém
Win 1st Half20%27%
Draw 1st Half40%36%
Loss 1st Half40%36%
Scored 1st Half40%27%
Conceded 1st Half50%45%
Win 2nd Half30%27%
Draw 2nd Half30%45%
Loss 2nd Half40%27%
Scored 2nd Half60%45%
Conceded 2nd Half40%36%
Over 0.5 HT70%64%
Over 1.5 HT30%36%

Recent Venue Form

Caldas (H)
DMafra3–3
WVitória de Sernache2–0
LSintrense1–3
LLouletano2–4
DLusitano Évora 19110–0
DAcademica2–2
União Santarém (A)
LAtlético CP1–3
WLouletano2–1
LCF Os Belenenses0–5
LSC Covilha0–2
LAmarante0–1
DCF Os Belenenses1–1

Head to Head · 15 matches

5
Caldas
33%
5
Draws
33%
5
União Santarém
33%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
33%
Over 2.5
5/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
04/09/26
União Santarém
0–1
Caldas
19/12/25
Caldas
0–2
União Santarém
24/09/25
União Santarém
0–1
Caldas
12/04/25
Caldas
0–1
União Santarém
16/03/25
União Santarém
0–0
Caldas
15/12/24
Caldas
0–3
União Santarém
01/09/24
União Santarém
0–1
Caldas
01/05/22
Caldas
2–3
União Santarém
09/04/22
União Santarém
2–2
Caldas
09/01/22
União Santarém
1–1
Caldas
28/08/21
Caldas
1–0
União Santarém
21/02/21
Caldas
1–2
União Santarém
08/11/20
União Santarém
1–1
Caldas
09/02/20
União Santarém
3–3
Caldas
15/09/19
Caldas
2–0
União Santarém
Liga 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1CF Os Belenenses8620+1220
1Paredes8611+919
2Atlético CP8521+1017
2AD Marco 098422+314
3Fafe8341+613
3Mafra8332+512
4Leça8413+213
4Caldas8323-211
5Vianense8242-110
5Oliveirense8242-110
6União Santarém8314-510
6Guimaraes B823309
7São João Ver8233-19
7Louletano8224-28
8Varzim8305-29
8SC Covilha8143-37
9Pacos Ferreira8224-58
9Vitória de Sernache8215-97
10Lusitano Évora 19118134-56
10Trofense8125-115

Team Insights

Caldas
  • ●Caldas have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●70% of Caldas's goals have been scored at home.
União Santarém
  • ●União Santarém have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●67% of União Santarém's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●79% of União Santarém's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●União Santarém have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●União Santarém have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
CaldasCaldas
WASC Covilha8º1–0
DHMafra3º3–3
LAAtlético CP2º1–4
WHVitória de Sernache9º2–0
WAUnião Santarém6º1–0
LHSintrense1–3
LHLouletano7º2–4
DHLusitano Évora 191110º0–0
LACF Os Belenenses1º0–1
DHAcademica2–2
União SantarémUnião Santarém
LAAtlético CP2º1–3
WHVitória de Sernache9º2–1
LHGIL Vicente2–3
WHLusitano Évora 191110º3–0
WHMerelinense5–0
WALouletano7º2–1
LHCaldas4º0–1
LACF Os Belenenses1º0–5
DHOliveirense5º1–1
LASC Covilha8º0–2

Season Schedule

Caldas
WASC Covilha1–0
DHMafra3–3
LAAtlético CP1–4
WHVitória de Sernache2–0
WAUnião Santarém1–0
LHLouletano2–4
–HOliveirense07/11
–HCF Os Belenenses29/11
–ALusitano Évora 191106/12
União Santarém
LAAtlético CP1–3
WHVitória de Sernache2–1
WHLusitano Évora 19113–0
WALouletano2–1
LHCaldas0–1
LACF Os Belenenses0–5
–HMafra06/11
–HSC Covilha29/11
–AOliveirense06/12

Top Scorers

Caldas
G. Chaves6 ⚽
E. J. Mucuana Lobo2 ⚽
2 ⚽
G. Pio1 ⚽
Goncas1 ⚽
União Santarém
5 ⚽
R. Mordomo3 ⚽
Costinha2 ⚽
A. Sousa1 ⚽
L. Martins1 ⚽
R. Camacho1 ⚽

Cards Given

Caldas
3 🟨
M. Palmerio3 🟨
G. Chaves2 🟨
D. Clemente2 🟨
D. Izata2 🟨
T. Serrazina2 🟨
União Santarém
M. Pami2 🟨
R. Mordomo2 🟨
A. Sousa2 🟨
J. Nobrega2 🟨
G. Isnaba2 🟨
B. Sousa1 🟨