Trofense vs Guimaraes B — Liga 3
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Trofense and Guimaraes B meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 20 December 2026. Trofense have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Guimaraes B have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Trofense and 1.40 for Guimaraes B. The models give Trofense a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Guimaraes B win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
TrofenseGuimaraes BHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Trofense | Home | Away | Guimaraes B | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 17% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Trofense | Home | Away | Guimaraes B | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 75% | 83% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trofense | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS | 40% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trofense | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 63% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 70% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Trofense (H)
AD Marco 090–2
Leça1–4
São João Ver1–0
Varzim0–1Guimaraes B1–1
Amarante0–0Guimaraes B (A)Varzim4–2AD Marco 090–1
Fafe1–1
Paredes1–3
Chaves3–2Trofense1–1Head to Head · 5 matches
TrofenseGuimaraes BTrofenseGuimaraes BTrofense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Trofense- ●Trofense have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Trofense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Trofense have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Guimaraes B- ●70% of Guimaraes B's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
TrofenseAD Marco 090–2Paredes0–4Fafe2–2Leça1–4Guimaraes B0–0São João Ver1–0Pacos Ferreira08/11Varzim28/11Vianense06/12Guimaraes BVianense2–2Varzim4–2Pacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 090–1Trofense0–0Fafe1–1São João Ver07/11Paredes29/11Leça06/12Top Scorers
TrofenseGuimaraes BCards Given
TrofenseGuimaraes B