Guimaraes B vs AD Marco 09 — Liga 3
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Guimaraes B and AD Marco 09 meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 3 January 2027. Guimaraes B have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. AD Marco 09 have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Guimaraes B and 0.96 for AD Marco 09. The models give Guimaraes B a 44% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an AD Marco 09 win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Guimaraes BAD Marco 09Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Guimaraes B | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 50% | 83% | 64% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 33% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 50% | 17% | 36% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Guimaraes B | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 33% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 50% | 36% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% | 50% | 67% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guimaraes B | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guimaraes B | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Guimaraes B (H)
Vianense2–2
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Trofense0–0
Leça2–0
Amarante1–3
Mafra0–2AD Marco (A)Trofense2–0
Farense0–3Leça0–2
São João Ver0–0
Régua1–0
Varzim1–2Head to Head · 7 matches
Guimaraes BAD Marco 09Guimaraes BGuimaraes BAD Marco 09Guimaraes BAD Marco 09| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Leça | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 |  União Santarém | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Fafe | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Guimaraes B | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Louletano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Vianense | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Vitória de Sernache | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 |  SC Covilha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Trofense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Guimaraes B- ●Guimaraes B have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Guimaraes B have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Guimaraes B have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Guimaraes B failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Guimaraes B's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Guimaraes B's goals conceded were conceded away.
AD Marco- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of AD Marco 09's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Guimaraes BSão João Ver2–0Vianense2–2Varzim4–2Pacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 090–1Trofense0–0Paredes29/11Leça06/12Fafe13/12AD MarcoParedes1–3Trofense2–0Fafe0–0Leça0–2Guimaraes B1–0São João Ver0–0Pacos Ferreira28/11Varzim04/12Vianense13/12Top Scorers
Guimaraes BAD MarcoCards Given
Guimaraes BAD Marco