Vitória de Sernache vs Caldas — Liga 3
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Vitória de Sernache and Caldas meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 3 January 2027. Vitória de Sernache have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Caldas have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Vitória de Sernache and 0.96 for Caldas. The models give Vitória de Sernache a 42% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Caldas win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Vitória de SernacheCaldasHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Caldas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 71% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 29% | 36% | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 14% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 29% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Caldas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 60% | 57% | 64% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 20% | 57% | 45% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 40% | 43% | 36% | 29% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitória de | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS | 33% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitória de | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Vitória de (H)
Atlético CP0–1
Louletano1–0
Varzim2–1
CF Os Belenenses1–3
SC Covilha0–0Louletano1–1Caldas (A)SC Covilha1–0Atlético CP1–4
União Santarém1–0CF Os Belenenses0–1
1º Dezembro1–2Atlético CP0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Vitória de SernacheCaldas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Leça | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | União Santarém | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Fafe | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Mafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Guimaraes B | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Varzim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Louletano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Vianense | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Caldas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Vitória de Sernache | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 |  São João Ver | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | SC Covilha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Vitória de- ●Vitória de Sernache failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Vitória de Sernache's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Caldas- ●70% of Caldas's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Vitória deAtlético CP0–1Lusitano Évora 19111–0União Santarém1–2Louletano1–0Caldas0–2CF Os Belenenses1–3Mafra29/11SC Covilha06/12Oliveirense13/12CaldasOliveirense0–1SC Covilha1–0Mafra3–3Atlético CP1–4Vitória de Sernache2–0União Santarém1–0CF Os Belenenses29/11Lusitano Évora 191105/12Louletano12/12Top Scorers
Vitória deCaldasCards Given
Vitória deCaldas