Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal — Stars League
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Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium·Doha·Qatar·20,000
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Al Ahli Doha and Al Shamal meet in the Stars League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Al Ahli Doha have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Al Shamal have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 2.09 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.37 for Al Ahli Doha and 1.64 for Al Shamal. The models give Al Ahli Doha a 48% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Al Shamal win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Al Ahli Doha—
Al Shamal6º
Position
5º
1.40
PPG
1.60
40%
Win %
40%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.80
Conceded / game
2.00
55%
BTTS %
73%
18%
Clean sheet %
18%
64%
Over 2.5 %
73%
5.3
Avg corners
4.3
15.7
Avg shots
10.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.7
7.3
Avg fouls
10.8
55.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
Al Ahli Doha
Home (3)
—
Al Shamal
Away (2)
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
50%
3.00
Goals / game
2.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
40%
BTTS %
50%
40%
Clean sheet %
50%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
5.3
Avg corners
4.3
15.7
Avg shots
10.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.7
55.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| Al Ahli | Home | Away | Al Shamal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 80% | 67% | 82% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 60% | 17% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 40% | 17% | 36% | 29% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 20% | 33% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Al Ahli | Home | Away | Al Shamal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 60% | 100% | 82% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 40% | 67% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 55% | 40% | 67% | 18% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 40% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al Ahli | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 18% |
| BTTS | 55% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al Ahli | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Al Ahli (H)W
Al-Sailiya5–0
Al-Sailiya5–0L
Al Shahaniya0–1
Al Shahaniya0–1W
Qatar SC1–0
Qatar SC1–0D
Lusail City3–3
Lusail City3–3W
Al Hussein3–1
Al Hussein3–1W
Al-Duhail SC2–1
Al-Duhail SC2–1Al Shamal (A)D
Tractor Sazi0–0
Tractor Sazi0–0W
Al Bidda SC4–0
Al Bidda SC4–0W
Al-Gharafa3–1
Al-Gharafa3–1D
Al-Arabi SC2–2
Al-Arabi SC2–2L
Al Sadd2–3
Al Sadd2–3LAl Shahaniya0–2
Al Shahaniya0–2Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.9
22 games
10.2
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Al Ahli | Al Shamal | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Al Ahli | Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.7 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
7
Al Ahli
39%
6
Draws
33%
5
Al Shamal
28%
61%
Over 1.5
11/18
50%
Over 2.5
9/18
33%
Over 3.5
6/18
50%
BTTS
9/18
07/01/26Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
4–2Al Shamal14/12/25Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
0–1Al Ahli Doha14/08/25Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–0Al Ahli Doha28/02/25Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
1–1Al Shamal27/09/24Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–4Al Ahli Doha29/03/24Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–1Al Ahli Doha03/11/23Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
1–2Al Shamal02/04/23Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
0–1Al Shamal14/09/22Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–2Al Ahli Doha25/02/22Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
3–0Al Ahli Doha22/11/21Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–2Al Ahli Doha03/11/21Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
0–0Al Shamal06/09/21Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
2–2Al Shamal27/02/15Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
3–2Al Shamal02/10/14Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
0–1Al Ahli Doha11/03/13Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
0–0Al Shamal24/01/13Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
0–1Al Ahli Doha21/11/12Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
1–0Al Shamal| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 12 |
| 3 | Al-Duhail SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Shamal | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Doha | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Shahaniya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Lusail City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 |  Al Wakrah | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 2 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Al Ahli- ●Al Ahli Doha have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Al Ahli Doha have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Al Ahli Doha have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●90% of Al Ahli Doha's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Al Ahli Doha's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Al Ahli Doha's points have been earned at home.
- ●Al Ahli Doha have conceded 78% of their goals in the first half.
Al Shamal- ●Al Shamal failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●70% of Al Shamal's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Al AhliWHAl-Sailiya5–0
Al-Sailiya5–0LAAl-Rayyan SC0–3
Al-Rayyan SC0–3WHQatar SC1–0
Qatar SC1–0DHLusail City3–3
Lusail City3–3LAAl Sadd1–3
Al Sadd1–3–HAl Wakrah16/10
Al Wakrah16/10–AAl-Gharafa22/10
Al-Gharafa22/10–HAl Shahaniya06/11
Al Shahaniya06/11Al ShamalLHAl-Duhail SC0–4
Al-Duhail SC0–4DHAl Wakrah1–1
Al Wakrah1–1WHAl Shahaniya4–2
Al Shahaniya4–2WAAl-Gharafa3–1
Al-Gharafa3–1DAAl-Arabi SC2–2
Al-Arabi SC2–2–ALusail City17/10
Lusail City17/10–HQatar SC22/10
Qatar SC22/10–AAl Sadd06/11
Al Sadd06/11Top Scorers
Al AhliJ. Draxler3 ⚽
E. Exposito2 ⚽
Naïm Sliti2 ⚽
I. Mohammed2 ⚽
Younis Hussein Abdelrahman1 ⚽
Julian Draxler1 ⚽
Al ShamalB. Bounedjah3 ⚽
Baghdad Bounedjah3 ⚽
O. Ali2 ⚽
A. Al Saeed2 ⚽
Mowafak Awad2 ⚽
O. Mohamed2 ⚽
Cards Given
Al AhliA. Reyed1 🟨
Ayoub Amraoui1 🟨
Borja Jiménez Sáez1 🟨
D. Fettouhi1 🟨
G. Al Minhali1 🟨
J. Draxler1 🟨
Al ShamalBaghdad Bounedjah3 🟨
O. Ebrahimi2 🟨
Ali Assadalla2 🟨
M. Termanini2 🟨
Mowafak Awad2 🟨
Pablo Mari2 🟨