Welling United vs Carshalton Athletic — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Welling United and Carshalton Athletic meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Welling United have recorded 10 wins from 18 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Carshalton Athletic have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Welling United and 1.19 for Carshalton Athletic. The models give Welling United a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Carshalton Athletic win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Welling United—
Carshalton Athletic3º
Position
5º
2.18
PPG
1.62
73%
Win %
54%
1.82
Goals / game
1.46
0.91
Conceded / game
1.69
50%
BTTS %
55%
39%
Clean sheet %
20%
56%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Welling United
Home (6)
—
Carshalton Athletic
Away (6)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
67%
2.33
Goals / game
2.00
0.17
Conceded / game
1.83
44%
BTTS %
80%
56%
Clean sheet %
10%
56%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Welling United | Home | Away | Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 78% | 75% | 60% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 78% | 11% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 40% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Welling United | Home | Away | Carshalton Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 44% | 78% | 80% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 22% | 56% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 44% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 56% | 22% | 20% | 30% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Welling United | Carshalton Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 15% |
| BTTS | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Welling United | Carshalton Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Welling United (H)W
Whyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0D
Chertsey Town2–2
Chertsey Town2–2W
Cheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0W
Wingate & Finchley4–1
Wingate & Finchley4–1W
Faversham Town2–1
Faversham Town2–1W
Ramsgate1–0
Ramsgate1–0Carshalton Athletic (A)WRamsgate3–2
Ramsgate3–2D
Southall2–2
Southall2–2W
Maldon & Tiptree3–2
Maldon & Tiptree3–2L
Lewes0–3
Lewes0–3DChertsey Town1–1
Chertsey Town1–1L
Three Bridges2–3
Three Bridges2–3Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Welling United
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Carshalton Athletic
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
24/02/26Carshalton Athletic
Welling United
2–1Carshalton Athletic27/09/25Welling United
Carshalton Athletic
2–1Welling United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Lewes | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 3 | Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 |  Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chatham Town | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 18 |
| 9 |  Burgess Hill Town | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Wingate & Finchley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
| 16 | Whyteleafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 17 |  Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 21 |  Whitehawk | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Welling United- ●Welling United have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Welling United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Welling United have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●70% of Welling United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Welling United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Welling United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Welling United have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Carshalton Athletic- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Carshalton Athletic's goals have been scored away.
- ●Carshalton Athletic have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Welling UnitedLAEastbourne Borough0–1
Eastbourne Borough0–1WAMaldon & Tiptree1–0
Maldon & Tiptree1–0WHWhyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0WHCheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0WHWingate & Finchley4–1
Wingate & Finchley4–1LACray Wanderers1–4
Cray Wanderers1–4–HBurgess Hill Town17/10
Burgess Hill Town17/10–HLeatherhead20/10
Leatherhead20/10–AChatham Town24/10
Chatham Town24/10Carshalton AthleticLHEnfield Town1–2
Enfield Town1–2LHSt Albans City0–1
St Albans City0–1LHEastbourne Borough0–4
Eastbourne Borough0–4WARamsgate3–2
Ramsgate3–2WAMaldon & Tiptree3–2
Maldon & Tiptree3–2LALewes0–3
Lewes0–3–ADulwich Hamlet17/10
Dulwich Hamlet17/10–AWingate & Finchley20/10
Wingate & Finchley20/10–AWelling United31/10
Welling United31/10Top Scorers
Welling UnitedN. Melvin-Lambert6 ⚽
R. Kingsford3 ⚽
D. Anyadike2 ⚽
N. Cooper2 ⚽
A. Azeez2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Carshalton AthleticN. Young-Coombes7 ⚽
T. Fadahunsi3 ⚽
W. Bratvedt2 ⚽
J. Jebb2 ⚽
P. Kandolo2 ⚽
H. Hechachena1 ⚽
Cards Given
Welling UnitedL. Majoyegbe2 🟨
Carshalton AthleticR. Masampu2 🟨