Serrano RJ vs Nova Cidade — Carioca - 2
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Serrano RJ and Nova Cidade meet in the Carioca - 2 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Serrano RJ have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Nova Cidade have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Serrano RJ and 0.68 for Nova Cidade. The models give Serrano RJ a 50% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Nova Cidade win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 26% and BTTS at 33%.
Season Statistics
Serrano RJNova CidadeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Serrano RJ | Home | Away | Nova Cidade | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 56% | 70% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 44% | 30% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
Goals Conceded
| Serrano RJ | Home | Away | Nova Cidade | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 56% | 80% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 22% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 11% | 30% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 44% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 0% |
| BTTS | 53% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 83% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Serrano RJ (H)
Macaé1–0
Campo Grande1–1
Goytacaz0–0
São Gonçalo EC RJ0–3São Gonçalo EC RJ0–0
CFRJ / Maricá1–1Nova Cidade (A)
Audax Rio0–0
Niteroiense0–1
Duque de Caxias0–3Duque de Caxias2–2
Bonsucesso0–1Serrano RJ1–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
Nova CidadeSerrano RJNova CidadeSerrano RJSerrano RJNova CidadeSerrano RJ| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 | Duque de Caxias | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 4 | Goytacaz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Petrópolis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Artsul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Campo Grande | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Macaé | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  São Cristóvão RJ | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 12 |  Carapebus | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
Serrano RJ- ●Serrano RJ have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Serrano RJ have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Serrano RJ have won their last 2 away matches.
Nova Cidade- ●Nova Cidade have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
Season Schedule
Serrano RJMacaé1–0Artsul4–3Campo Grande1–1Audax Rio1–0Goytacaz0–0Niteroiense0–2Carapebus17/10Petrópolis20/10Nova Cidade24/10Nova CidadeCampo Grande3–0Audax Rio0–0Goytacaz1–2Niteroiense0–1São Cristóvão RJ2–2Duque de Caxias0–3Artsul16/10Macaé21/10Serrano RJ24/10Top Scorers
Serrano RJNova CidadeCards Given
Serrano RJNova Cidade