Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates — Premier Soccer League
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Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates meet in the Premier Soccer League 2026 season on 9 January 2027. Mamelodi Sundowns have recorded 15 wins from 23 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 1.96 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Orlando Pirates have won 75% of their 24 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 63%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.58 for Orlando Pirates. The models give Mamelodi Sundowns a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Orlando Pirates win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns—
Orlando Pirates1º
Position
2º
2.60
PPG
2.78
80%
Win %
89%
2.70
Goals / game
2.33
0.90
Conceded / game
0.22
61%
BTTS %
29%
30%
Clean sheet %
63%
43%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.9
Avg corners
5.2
17.6
Avg shots
13.4
7.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
13.5
Avg fouls
12.1
66.8%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Mamelodi Sundowns
Home (5)
—
Orlando Pirates
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
2.50
100%
Win %
75%
3.20
Goals / game
2.50
0.60
Conceded / game
0.25
54%
BTTS %
25%
38%
Clean sheet %
75%
46%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.9
Avg corners
5.2
17.6
Avg shots
13.4
7.0
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
66.8%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Home | Away | Orlando Pirates | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 93% | 80% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 57% | 50% | 63% | 69% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 36% | 30% | 29% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 7% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Home | Away | Orlando Pirates | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 64% | 80% | 38% | 44% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 21% | 30% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 36% | 20% | 63% | 56% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Orlando Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 4% |
| BTTS | 63% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Orlando Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 4% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Mamelodi Sundowns (H)L
USM Alger1–3
USM Alger1–3W
Golden Arrows1–0
Golden Arrows1–0W
Durban City4–1
Durban City4–1W
Marumo Gallants1–0
Marumo Gallants1–0D
Wiliete1–1
Wiliete1–1W
Al-Ahli Jeddah2–1
Al-Ahli Jeddah2–1Orlando Pirates (A)W
African Stars1–0
African Stars1–0WMarumo Gallants2–0
Marumo Gallants2–0D
La Cure Waves0–0
La Cure Waves0–0W
Kruger United4–0
Kruger United4–0W
Sekhukhune United1–0
Sekhukhune United1–0W
Chippa United3–0
Chippa United3–0Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
68 games
9.0
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orlando Pirates | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 50% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 40% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 40% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 40% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 30% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 30% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Mamelodi Sundowns | Orlando Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 42% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 17% | 30% |
Head to Head · 28 matches
14
Mamelodi Sundowns
50%
9
Draws
32%
5
Orlando Pirates
18%
68%
Over 1.5
19/28
39%
Over 2.5
11/28
21%
Over 3.5
6/28
43%
BTTS
12/28
10/10/26Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
0–2Mamelodi Sundowns18/02/26Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
1–2Mamelodi Sundowns01/11/25Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
1–1Orlando Pirates23/08/25Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
1–1Orlando Pirates16/08/25Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
1–1Mamelodi Sundowns16/03/25Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
2–1Mamelodi Sundowns08/02/25Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
4–1Orlando Pirates01/06/24Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
1–2Orlando Pirates17/02/24Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
1–1Orlando Pirates07/10/23Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
0–0Mamelodi Sundowns20/09/23Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
0–1Mamelodi Sundowns04/02/23Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
0–1Mamelodi Sundowns30/12/22Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
2–0Orlando Pirates22/10/22Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
0–3Orlando Pirates01/10/22Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
0–0Mamelodi Sundowns17/12/21Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
4–1Orlando Pirates25/09/21Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
0–2Mamelodi Sundowns02/05/21Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
0–3Mamelodi Sundowns15/04/21Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
4–1Orlando Pirates02/01/21Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
1–0Orlando Pirates| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 26 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Amazulu | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 |  Milford FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kaizer Chiefs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Chippa United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Stellenbosch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Kruger United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Golden Arrows | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Polokwane City | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  TS Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Durban City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  Siwelele | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Richards Bay | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
Team Insights
Mamelodi Sundowns- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Mamelodi Sundowns have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Mamelodi Sundowns's goals conceded were conceded away.
Orlando Pirates- ●Orlando Pirates have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Orlando Pirates have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
Mamelodi SundownsWHDurban City4–1
Durban City4–1WARichards Bay4–1
Richards Bay4–1DAChippa United1–1
Chippa United1–1WHSiwelele3–0
Siwelele3–0WAGolden Arrows2–1
Golden Arrows2–1WHMilford FC2–0
Milford FC2–0–AKruger United28/11
Kruger United28/11–HPolokwane City05/12
Polokwane City05/12–HSekhukhune United15/12
Sekhukhune United15/12Orlando PiratesWHKaizer Chiefs2–1
Kaizer Chiefs2–1WHTS Galaxy3–0
TS Galaxy3–0WAMarumo Gallants2–0
Marumo Gallants2–0WHDurban City2–0
Durban City2–0WAKruger United4–0
Kruger United4–0WHSekhukhune United2–0
Sekhukhune United2–0–HGolden Arrows28/11
Golden Arrows28/11–HStellenbosch05/12
Stellenbosch05/12–ARichards Bay16/12
Richards Bay16/12Top Scorers
Mamelodi SundownsB. Leon6 ⚽
I. Rayners4 ⚽
C. Mailula4 ⚽
Iqraam Rayners3 ⚽
A. van Wyk3 ⚽
T. Mokoena3 ⚽
Orlando Pirates5 ⚽
T. Moremi5 ⚽
Y. Mbuthuma4 ⚽
G. Lungu4 ⚽
B. Radiopane4 ⚽
Tshepang Moremi3 ⚽
Cards Given
Mamelodi SundownsGrant Kekana2 🟨
K. Ndamane2 🟨
B. J. Aubaas2 🟨
F. Basadien2 🟨
B. Leon2 🟨
M. Allende2 🟨
Orlando Pirates4 🟨
Simphiwe Masilela2 🟨
C. Dansin2 🟨
P. Maswanganyi2 🟨
K. Sebelebele2 🟨
S. Zulu2 🟨