Alianza vs Firpo — Primera Division
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Alianza and Firpo meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 4 October 2026. Alianza have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Firpo have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Alianza and 0.93 for Firpo. The models give Alianza a 42% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Firpo win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alianza | Home | Away | Firpo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 71% | 75% | 85% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 57% | 42% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 29% | 17% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 29% | 25% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Alianza | Home | Away | Firpo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 43% | 83% | 50% | 30% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 14% | 67% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 0% | 25% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 57% | 17% | 50% | 70% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alianza | Firpo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 53% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alianza | Firpo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 53 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 | |
| 2 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +8 | 20 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 | |
| 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Alianza have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Alianza have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Alianza have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alianza have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Alianza's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Firpo have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Firpo have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Firpo have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Firpo have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●88% of Firpo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●88% of Firpo's points have been earned at home.

