Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco — Primera Division
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Inter and Fuerte San Francisco meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 4 October 2026. Inter have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Fuerte San Francisco have won 14% of their 14 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Inter and 0.80 for Fuerte San Francisco. The models give Inter a 63% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Fuerte San Francisco win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Inter—
Fuerte San Francisco2º
Position
12º
1.82
PPG
0.60
45%
Win %
10%
1.45
Goals / game
0.60
0.73
Conceded / game
1.70
44%
BTTS %
43%
50%
Clean sheet %
21%
56%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Inter
Home (5)
—
Fuerte San Francisco
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
0.20
40%
Win %
0%
1.60
Goals / game
0.40
0.60
Conceded / game
2.20
57%
BTTS %
57%
43%
Clean sheet %
14%
43%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Inter | Home | Away | Fuerte San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 71% | 78% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 57% | 67% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 14% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 29% | 22% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Inter | Home | Away | Fuerte San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 57% | 44% | 79% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 14% | 22% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 43% | 56% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inter | Fuerte San | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 7% |
| BTTS | 44% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inter | Fuerte San | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 64% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 14% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 19% | 79% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Inter (H)D
Isidro Metapán0–0
Isidro Metapán0–0D
FAS2–2
FAS2–2W
Inca Aruba4–1
Inca Aruba4–1W
Alianza2–0
Alianza2–0D
Águila0–0
Águila0–0W
Municipal Limeño2–1
Municipal Limeño2–1Fuerte San (A)LInca Aruba1–2
Inca Aruba1–2LÁguila1–4
Águila1–4L
Atletico Balboa0–1
Atletico Balboa0–1D
Cacahuatique0–0
Cacahuatique0–0L
Firpo0–4
Firpo0–4WIsidro Metapán3–1
Isidro Metapán3–1Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Inter
40%
3
Draws
60%
0
Fuerte San
0%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
01/08/26Inter
Fuerte San Francisco
2–2Inter18/03/26Inter
Fuerte San Francisco
0–0Inter22/01/26Fuerte San Francisco
Inter
2–0Fuerte San Francisco24/09/25Inter
Fuerte San Francisco
2–3Inter24/07/25Fuerte San Francisco
Inter
0–0Fuerte San Francisco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAS | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | Municipal Limeño | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Firpo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 |
| 6 | Atletico Balboa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Platense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Águila | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Inter- ●Inter have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Inter have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inter have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Inter have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Inter have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Inter have conceded 88% of their goals in the first half.
Fuerte San- ●Fuerte San Francisco have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Fuerte San Francisco's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Fuerte San Francisco's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
InterDHIsidro Metapán0–0
Isidro Metapán0–0DHFAS2–2
FAS2–2WACacahuatique2–0
Cacahuatique2–0LAFirpo0–3
Firpo0–3WAPlatense3–0
Platense3–0WHInca Aruba4–1
Inca Aruba4–1–HAtletico Balboa26/09
Atletico Balboa26/09–AÁguila29/09
Águila29/09–HFuerte San Francisco04/10
Fuerte San Francisco04/10Fuerte SanLAInca Aruba1–2
Inca Aruba1–2LHMunicipal Limeño0–2
Municipal Limeño0–2LHFAS0–1
FAS0–1LAÁguila1–4
Águila1–4LAAtletico Balboa0–1
Atletico Balboa0–1WHIsidro Metapán1–0
Isidro Metapán1–0–AAlianza24/09
Alianza24/09–APlatense27/09
Platense27/09–HFirpo01/10
Firpo01/10Top Scorers
InterL. E. Vasquez Guillen5 ⚽
J. Henriquez3 ⚽
D. Coca2 ⚽
E. Mauricio2 ⚽
J. Rivera2 ⚽
H. A. Benitez Parada1 ⚽
Fuerte SanV. Santana3 ⚽
C. Martinez1 ⚽
C. Salazar1 ⚽
A. Caicedo1 ⚽
M. Rodriguez1 ⚽
R. Aparicio1 ⚽
Cards Given
InterA. Martinez1 🟨
E. A. Rivas Linares1 🟨
G. Stradella1 🟨
Fuerte SanV. Santana3 🟨
F. Escobar1 🟨
J. Benitez1 🟨