Firpo vs Inca Aruba — Primera Division
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Firpo and Inca Aruba meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Firpo have recorded 14 wins from 25 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 52% of games. Inca Aruba have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 0.87 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Firpo and 0.75 for Inca Aruba. The models give Firpo a 64% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Inca Aruba win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Firpo—
Inca Aruba2º
Position
9º
2.00
PPG
1.07
57%
Win %
27%
1.86
Goals / game
0.87
0.79
Conceded / game
1.80
40%
BTTS %
60%
52%
Clean sheet %
20%
56%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Firpo
Home (8)
—
Inca Aruba
Away (7)
2.38
PPG
0.71
75%
Win %
14%
2.00
Goals / game
0.71
0.38
Conceded / game
1.86
17%
BTTS %
57%
75%
Clean sheet %
14%
58%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Firpo | Home | Away | Inca Aruba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 83% | 85% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 58% | 38% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 42% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 17% | 15% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Firpo | Home | Away | Inca Aruba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 48% | 25% | 69% | 80% | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 17% | 38% | 47% | 38% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 8% | 15% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 52% | 75% | 31% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Firpo | Inca Aruba | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 13% |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 28% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Firpo | Inca Aruba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Firpo (H)W
Águila2–0
Águila2–0D
Cacahuatique0–0
Cacahuatique0–0W
Atletico Balboa3–1
Atletico Balboa3–1L
Isidro Metapán1–2
Isidro Metapán1–2L
CD Olimpia0–3
CD Olimpia0–3W
Inter3–0
Inter3–0Inca Aruba (A)D
FAS1–1
FAS1–1D
Alianza1–1
Alianza1–1LÁguila1–3
Águila1–3WIsidro Metapán1–0
Isidro Metapán1–0LInter1–4
Inter1–4L
Platense0–2
Platense0–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Firpo
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Inca Aruba
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
16/08/26Firpo
Inca Aruba
0–0Firpo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAS | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Firpo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Águila | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Inter | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Platense | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Municipal Limeño | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 |  Fuerte San Francisco | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Cacahuatique | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
Team Insights
Firpo- ●Firpo have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Firpo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Firpo have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Firpo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Firpo have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Firpo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Firpo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Firpo have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Firpo have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Firpo have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Firpo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Firpo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Firpo have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Inca Aruba- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Inca Aruba's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FirpoWAMunicipal Limeño3–2
Municipal Limeño3–2DAAlianza2–2
Alianza2–2WAFuerte San Francisco3–0
Fuerte San Francisco3–0WHÁguila2–0
Águila2–0DHCacahuatique0–0
Cacahuatique0–0WHAtletico Balboa3–1
Atletico Balboa3–1–HInca Aruba18/10
Inca Aruba18/10–APlatense25/10
Platense25/10–HFAS01/11
FAS01/11Inca ArubaLHPlatense1–4
Platense1–4DAFAS1–1
FAS1–1WHMunicipal Limeño2–1
Municipal Limeño2–1DAAlianza1–1
Alianza1–1WHFuerte San Francisco2–1
Fuerte San Francisco2–1LAÁguila1–3
Águila1–3–AFirpo18/10
Firpo18/10–HInter24/10
Inter24/10–ACacahuatique31/10
Cacahuatique31/10Top Scorers
FirpoJ. Valencia5 ⚽
L. S. Vasquez Velasquez5 ⚽
V. Garcia4 ⚽
D. Ortez4 ⚽
M. Cerritos3 ⚽
N. Diaz3 ⚽
Inca ArubaJ. Barahona3 ⚽
J. Urrutia3 ⚽
B. Paz2 ⚽
J. Delgado2 ⚽
I. Mancia1 ⚽
M. Narvaez1 ⚽
Cards Given
FirpoJ. Jimenez2 🟨
L. Claros2 🟨
M. E. Gonzalez2 🟨
M. Cornejo1 🟨
M. Mercado1 🟨
W. Y. Arizala Dajomes1 🟨
Inca ArubaJ. Urrutia1 🟨
M. Gomez1 🟨
M. Narvaez1 🟨