Inca Aruba vs Inter — Primera Division
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Inca Aruba and Inter meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Inca Aruba have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.87 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Inter have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Inca Aruba and 1.48 for Inter. The models give Inca Aruba a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Inter win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Inter | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 71% | 80% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 55% | 44% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 29% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Inter | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 75% | 86% | 60% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 57% | 25% | 11% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 29% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 14% | 40% | 33% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inca Aruba | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 60% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inca Aruba | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 30 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 | |
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 | |
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 23 | |
| 5 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | +7 | 23 | |
| 6 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 17 | |
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 16 | |
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 | |
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 12 | |
| 12 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Inca Aruba's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Inter have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Inter have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Inter have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Inter have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Inter have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Inter have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Inter have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.