Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán — Primera Division
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Inca Aruba and Isidro Metapán meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Inca Aruba have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.87 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Isidro Metapán have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Inca Aruba and 1.38 for Isidro Metapán. The models give Inca Aruba a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Isidro Metapán win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Inca ArubaIsidro MetapánHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Isidro Metapán | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 71% | 74% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 47% | 71% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 14% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 29% | 26% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Isidro Metapán | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 75% | 86% | 63% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 57% | 26% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 29% | 16% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 14% | 37% | 43% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inca Aruba | Isidro Metapán | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 60% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inca Aruba | Isidro Metapán | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Inca Aruba (H)
Platense1–4
Municipal Limeño2–1
Fuerte San Francisco2–1
Atletico Balboa1–0
Cacahuatique1–1
Firpo0–0Isidro Metapán (A)
Águila0–3
Inter0–0Firpo2–1Platense2–1Municipal Limeño1–3Fuerte San Francisco0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Inca Aruba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FAS | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Firpo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Águila | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Inter | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Alianza | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Platense | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Cacahuatique | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
Team Insights
Inca Aruba- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Inca Aruba's goals have been scored at home.
Isidro Metapán- ●Isidro Metapán have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Isidro Metapán have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Isidro Metapán failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Isidro Metapán have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●73% of Isidro Metapán's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Inca ArubaPlatense1–4FAS1–1Municipal Limeño2–1Alianza1–1Fuerte San Francisco2–1Águila1–3Firpo18/10Inter24/10Cacahuatique31/10Isidro MetapánÁguila0–3Atletico Balboa3–2Cacahuatique2–0Inter0–0Firpo2–1Platense2–1Fuerte San Francisco17/10FAS22/10Alianza25/10Top Scorers
Inca ArubaIsidro MetapánCards Given
Inca ArubaIsidro Metapán