Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza — Primera Division
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Fuerte San Francisco and Alianza meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 11 November 2026. Fuerte San Francisco have recorded 3 wins from 19 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 0.79 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Alianza have won 36% of their 25 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.32 for Alianza. The models give Fuerte San Francisco a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Alianza win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Fuerte San Francisco—
Alianza11º
Position
6º
0.80
PPG
1.36
13%
Win %
29%
0.73
Goals / game
1.57
1.60
Conceded / game
1.50
47%
BTTS %
64%
21%
Clean sheet %
24%
42%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Fuerte San Francisco
Home (7)
—
Alianza
Away (6)
1.14
PPG
0.83
29%
Win %
17%
0.86
Goals / game
1.33
1.43
Conceded / game
1.83
33%
BTTS %
62%
22%
Clean sheet %
15%
33%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Fuerte San | Home | Away | Alianza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 56% | 60% | 80% | 83% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 22% | 20% | 52% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 17% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 44% | 40% | 20% | 17% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Fuerte San | Home | Away | Alianza | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 78% | 80% | 76% | 67% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 52% | 33% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 11% | 20% | 12% | 0% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 22% | 20% | 24% | 33% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fuerte San | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 8% |
| BTTS | 47% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fuerte San | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 26% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 74% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Fuerte San (H)W
Cacahuatique2–1
Cacahuatique2–1L
Firpo0–3
Firpo0–3L
Municipal Limeño0–2
Municipal Limeño0–2L
FAS0–1
FAS0–1W
Isidro Metapán1–0
Isidro Metapán1–0D
Inter2–2
Inter2–2Alianza (A)LFAS1–2
FAS1–2L
CD Motagua0–3
CD Motagua0–3D
Águila2–2
Águila2–2D
Platense2–2
Platense2–2LIsidro Metapán0–2
Isidro Metapán0–2W
CD Marathon1–0
CD Marathon1–0Head to Head · 17 matches
3
Fuerte San
18%
2
Draws
12%
12
Alianza
71%
65%
Over 1.5
11/17
35%
Over 2.5
6/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
35%
BTTS
6/17
24/09/26Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–2Fuerte San Francisco01/05/26Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–1Alianza08/03/26Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
3–2Fuerte San Francisco16/11/25Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–3Alianza14/09/25Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
1–0Fuerte San Francisco18/05/25Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–0Fuerte San Francisco15/05/25Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–1Alianza23/04/25Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–0Alianza27/02/25Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–0Fuerte San Francisco01/11/24Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
2–0Fuerte San Francisco19/09/24Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–2Alianza28/04/24Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
3–1Fuerte San Francisco10/03/24Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–0Alianza02/12/23Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
1–1Alianza30/11/23Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
4–0Fuerte San Francisco07/10/23Fuerte San Francisco
Alianza
1–2Fuerte San Francisco13/08/23Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
0–1Alianza| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAS | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Firpo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Águila | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Inter | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Platense | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Inca Aruba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 10 |  Atletico Balboa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Cacahuatique | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
Team Insights
Fuerte San- ●Fuerte San Francisco have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Fuerte San Francisco have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Alianza- ●Alianza have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Alianza have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Alianza have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Alianza have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Alianza have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Alianza have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alianza have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alianza failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Alianza's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Fuerte SanWHCacahuatique2–1
Cacahuatique2–1DAInter1–1
Inter1–1LHFirpo0–3
Firpo0–3DAPlatense0–0
Platense0–0DAAlianza2–2
Alianza2–2LAInca Aruba1–2
Inca Aruba1–2–AIsidro Metapán17/10
Isidro Metapán17/10–HAtletico Balboa24/10
Atletico Balboa24/10–HÁguila01/11
Águila01/11AlianzaDHInter2–2
Inter2–2LAFAS1–2
FAS1–2DHFirpo2–2
Firpo2–2WHPlatense2–1
Platense2–1DHInca Aruba1–1
Inca Aruba1–1DHFuerte San Francisco2–2
Fuerte San Francisco2–2–ACacahuatique17/10
Cacahuatique17/10–HIsidro Metapán25/10
Isidro Metapán25/10–AAtletico Balboa01/11
Atletico Balboa01/11Top Scorers
Fuerte SanJ. Gallardo5 ⚽
V. Santana3 ⚽
A. Caicedo1 ⚽
C. Martinez1 ⚽
M. Rodriguez1 ⚽
R. Aparicio1 ⚽
AlianzaM. Mier4 ⚽
W. Parra4 ⚽
Gustavo Souza3 ⚽
H. Osorio3 ⚽
L. Menjivar3 ⚽
J. Barreto2 ⚽
Cards Given
Fuerte SanV. Santana3 🟨
F. Escobar1 🟨
J. Benitez1 🟨
W. Rugama1 🟨
AlianzaH. Osorio3 🟨
N. A. Rodriguez Arias3 🟨
L. Menjivar3 🟨
M. Mier2 🟨
B. Tamacas2 🟨
J. Portillo2 🟨