Inca Aruba vs Águila — Primera Division
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Inca Aruba and Águila meet in the Primera Division 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Inca Aruba have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.81 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Águila have won 52% of their 21 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Inca Aruba and 1.26 for Águila. The models give Inca Aruba a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Águila win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Inca ArubaÁguilaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Águila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 75% | 63% | 81% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 62% | 89% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 56% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 25% | 38% | 19% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Inca Aruba | Home | Away | Águila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 75% | 88% | 71% | 89% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 38% | 63% | 33% | 22% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 38% | 25% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 25% | 13% | 29% | 11% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Inca Aruba | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 29% |
| BTTS | 56% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Inca Aruba | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 5% |
| Scored 1st Half | 19% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Inca Aruba (H)
Platense1–4
Municipal Limeño2–1
Fuerte San Francisco2–1
Atletico Balboa1–0
Cacahuatique1–1
Firpo0–0Águila (A)Atletico Balboa2–2Firpo0–2Platense1–0Municipal Limeño0–0
FAS0–1
Isidro Metapán1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Inca Aruba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | FAS | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 | Águila | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 |  Inter | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 | Platense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Alianza | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
Team Insights
Inca Aruba- ●Inca Aruba have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Inca Aruba failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Inca Aruba have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Inca Aruba's goals have been scored at home.
Águila- ●Águila have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Águila have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Águila have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Águila have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Águila failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Águila have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●78% of Águila's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Inca ArubaFirpo0–2Platense1–4FAS1–1Municipal Limeño2–1Alianza1–1Fuerte San Francisco2–1Inter24/10Cacahuatique31/10Isidro Metapán07/11ÁguilaAtletico Balboa2–2Isidro Metapán3–0Cacahuatique4–1Inter2–1Firpo0–2Platense1–0FAS25/10Fuerte San Francisco01/11Alianza08/11Top Scorers
Inca ArubaÁguilaCards Given
Inca ArubaÁguila