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Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Tanzania — Ligi kuu Bara

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Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 8
Kagera Sugar
Kagera Sugar
14º · 0.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 2h
vs
–
–
Polisi Tanzania
Polisi Tanzania
7º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 9d 5h
Kaitaba Stadium·Bukoba·Tanzania·5,000
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Kagera Sugar and Polisi Tanzania meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Kagera Sugar have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Polisi Tanzania have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Kagera Sugar and 1.26 for Polisi Tanzania. The models give Kagera Sugar a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Polisi Tanzania win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.

Season Statistics

Kagera Sugar
—
Polisi Tanzania
14º
Position
7º
0.71
PPG
1.43
14%
Win %
43%
1.14
Goals / game
1.43
2.14
Conceded / game
1.29
71%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
43%
43%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Kagera Sugar
Home (4)
—
Polisi Tanzania
Away (3)
0.50
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
33%
0.50
Goals / game
1.33
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Kagera SugarHomeAwayPolisi TanzaniaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%50%100%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored29%0%67%43%50%33%
Over 2.5 Scored14%0%33%0%0%0%
Failed To Score29%50%0%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

Kagera SugarHomeAwayPolisi TanzaniaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded100%100%100%57%50%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded57%50%67%43%25%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%0%33%14%0%33%
Clean Sheets0%0%0%43%50%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Kagera SugarPolisi Tanzania
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.5100%86%
Over 2.543%43%
Over 3.529%14%
Over 4.514%14%
BTTS71%57%
BTTS & Win14%0%
BTTS & Draw29%14%
BTTS & Over 2.543%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Kagera SugarPolisi Tanzania
Win 1st Half29%43%
Draw 1st Half29%14%
Loss 1st Half43%43%
Scored 1st Half71%57%
Conceded 1st Half71%43%
Win 2nd Half14%29%
Draw 2nd Half29%57%
Loss 2nd Half57%14%
Scored 2nd Half29%57%
Conceded 2nd Half57%43%
Over 0.5 HT100%86%
Over 1.5 HT57%43%

Recent Venue Form

Kagera Sugar (H)
DFountain Gate1–1
LAzam0–2
DSingida Black Stars1–1
LSimba0–2
LMashujaa0–1
LAzam2–4
Polisi Tanzania (A)
LMashujaa1–2
LSingida Black Stars2–4
WDodoma Jiji1–0
LTanzania Prisons0–1
WMbeya Kwanza4–0
LAzam0–8

Head to Head · 8 matches

2
Kagera Sugar
25%
4
Draws
50%
2
Polisi Tanzania
25%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
06/02/23
Polisi Tanzania
0–0
Kagera Sugar
08/10/22
Kagera Sugar
2–0
Polisi Tanzania
29/06/22
Kagera Sugar
0–0
Polisi Tanzania
19/02/22
Polisi Tanzania
0–0
Kagera Sugar
15/07/21
Polisi Tanzania
0–1
Kagera Sugar
22/12/20
Kagera Sugar
2–2
Polisi Tanzania
18/07/20
Kagera Sugar
1–2
Polisi Tanzania
11/01/20
Polisi Tanzania
2–1
Kagera Sugar
Ligi kuu Bara
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Simba7700+1021
2Young Africans7601+1318
3Azam8521+617
4Mashujaa7403+112
5Singida Black Stars8323+311
6Dodoma Jiji7322011
7Polisi Tanzania7313+110
8Mbeya City7313010
9JKT Tanzania7313-210
10Coastal Union8314-410
11Namungo8305-49
12Geita Gold7214-37
13Tabora United7133-16
14Kagera Sugar7124-75
15Pamba Jiji7115-54
16Fountain Gate7115-84

Team Insights

Kagera Sugar
  • ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Kagera Sugar have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●75% of Kagera Sugar's goals have been scored away.
  • ●Kagera Sugar have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Polisi Tanzania
  • ●Polisi Tanzania have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Polisi Tanzania have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Polisi Tanzania have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●67% of Polisi Tanzania's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Polisi Tanzania have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Polisi Tanzania have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Kagera SugarKagera Sugar
WAMbeya City8º3–1
DHFountain Gate16º1–1
LHAzam3º0–2
LAMashujaa4º1–2
LAGeita Gold12º2–6
DHSingida Black Stars5º1–1
LHSimba1º0–2
LASimba2º0–1
DANamungo9º0–0
LHMashujaa7º0–1
Polisi TanzaniaPolisi Tanzania
LAMashujaa4º1–2
WHMbeya City8º2–0
LHCoastal Union10º1–2
LASingida Black Stars5º2–4
WADodoma Jiji6º1–0
WHJKT Tanzania9º2–0
DHAzam3º1–1
LATanzania Prisons13º0–1
LATanzania Prisons13º0–1
WHTanzania Prisons13º4–0

Season Schedule

Kagera Sugar
WAMbeya City3–1
DHFountain Gate1–1
LHAzam0–2
LAMashujaa1–2
LAGeita Gold2–6
DHSingida Black Stars1–1
–HPolisi Tanzania17/10
–AJKT Tanzania24/10
–ACoastal Union28/10
Polisi Tanzania
LAMashujaa1–2
WHMbeya City2–0
LHCoastal Union1–2
LASingida Black Stars2–4
WADodoma Jiji1–0
WHJKT Tanzania2–0
–AKagera Sugar17/10
–HPamba Jiji23/10
–ANamungo29/10

Top Scorers

Kagera Sugar
M. Said3 ⚽
E. Mvuyekule1 ⚽
H. Mwaterema1 ⚽
K. Feka1 ⚽
R. Mathias1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Polisi Tanzania
A. Jabiri4 ⚽
4 ⚽
H. Kyombo1 ⚽
J. Mtegeta1 ⚽

Cards Given

Kagera Sugar
7 🟨
D. Mhilu1 🟨
Polisi Tanzania
9 🟨