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Simba vs Mbeya City — Ligi kuu Bara

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Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 9
Simba
Simba
1º · 3.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 10d 21h
vs
–
–
Mbeya City
Mbeya City
8º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 23h
KMC Stadium·Dar es Salaam·Tanzania·3,000
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Simba and Mbeya City meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Simba have recorded 10 wins from 11 matches this season (91% win rate), averaging 2.36 goals scored and 0.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Mbeya City have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Simba and 0.78 for Mbeya City. The models give Simba a 66% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Mbeya City win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 44%.

Season Statistics

Simba
—
Mbeya City
1º
Position
8º
3.00
PPG
1.43
100%
Win %
43%
2.38
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
45%
BTTS %
29%
45%
Clean sheet %
43%
45%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Simba
Home (4)
—
Mbeya City
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.33
100%
Win %
33%
2.75
Goals / game
0.67
0.50
Conceded / game
0.67
60%
BTTS %
0%
40%
Clean sheet %
67%
60%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

SimbaHomeAwayMbeya CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored91%100%83%57%75%33%
Over 1.5 Scored73%80%67%43%50%33%
Over 2.5 Scored18%40%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score9%0%17%43%25%67%

Goals Conceded

SimbaHomeAwayMbeya CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded55%60%50%57%75%33%
Over 1.5 Conceded0%0%0%29%25%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%14%25%0%
Clean Sheets45%40%50%43%25%67%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

SimbaMbeya City
Over 0.5100%86%
Over 1.573%71%
Over 2.545%29%
Over 3.518%14%
Over 4.518%0%
BTTS45%29%
BTTS & Win45%14%
BTTS & Draw0%0%
BTTS & Over 2.545%29%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

SimbaMbeya City
Win 1st Half45%14%
Draw 1st Half45%57%
Loss 1st Half9%29%
Scored 1st Half55%29%
Conceded 1st Half27%43%
Win 2nd Half82%43%
Draw 2nd Half0%43%
Loss 2nd Half18%14%
Scored 2nd Half82%43%
Conceded 2nd Half27%29%
Over 0.5 HT64%57%
Over 1.5 HT36%29%

Recent Venue Form

Simba (H)
WMashujaa6–1
WYoung Africans2–1
WBe Forward Wanderers6–1
WGeita Gold2–0
WCoastal Union1–0
DMogadishu City0–0
Mbeya City (A)
LPolisi Tanzania0–2
DTabora United0–0
WFountain Gate2–0
DTanzania Prisons0–0
DDodoma Jiji1–1
WPamba Jiji2–0

Head to Head · 16 matches

13
Simba
81%
2
Draws
13%
1
Mbeya City
6%
69%
Over 1.5
11/16
44%
Over 2.5
7/16
31%
Over 3.5
5/16
31%
BTTS
5/16
17/06/26
Mbeya City
0–1
Simba
04/12/25
Simba
3–0
Mbeya City
18/01/23
Simba
3–2
Mbeya City
23/11/22
Mbeya City
1–1
Simba
16/06/22
Simba
3–0
Mbeya City
17/01/22
Mbeya City
1–0
Simba
22/06/21
Simba
4–1
Mbeya City
13/12/20
Mbeya City
0–1
Simba
24/06/20
Mbeya City
0–2
Simba
03/11/19
Simba
4–0
Mbeya City
12/04/18
Simba
3–1
Mbeya City
05/11/17
Mbeya City
0–1
Simba
04/03/17
Simba
2–2
Mbeya City
12/10/16
Mbeya City
0–2
Simba
06/03/16
Simba
2–0
Mbeya City
17/10/15
Mbeya City
0–1
Simba
Ligi kuu Bara
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Simba8800+1524
2Young Africans7601+1318
3Azam8521+617
4Mashujaa8404-412
5Singida Black Stars8323+311
6Dodoma Jiji7322011
7Polisi Tanzania7313+110
8Mbeya City7313010
9JKT Tanzania7313-210
10Coastal Union8314-410
11Namungo8305-49
12Geita Gold7214-37
13Tabora United7133-16
14Kagera Sugar7124-75
15Pamba Jiji7115-54
16Fountain Gate7115-84

Team Insights

Simba
  • ●Simba have won their last 8 matches.
  • ●Simba have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Simba have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Simba have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Simba have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Simba have won their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Simba have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Simba have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Mbeya City
  • ●Mbeya City have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
SimbaSimba
WHMashujaa4º6–1
WHYoung Africans2º2–1
WAAzam3º2–0
WHBe Forward Wanderers6–1
WABe Forward Wanderers1–0
WHGeita Gold12º2–0
WHCoastal Union10º1–0
WASingida Black Stars5º2–1
WAPamba Jiji15º2–1
WAKagera Sugar14º2–0
Mbeya CityMbeya City
LHKagera Sugar14º1–3
LAPolisi Tanzania7º0–2
DATabora United13º0–0
WAFountain Gate16º2–0
WHMashujaa4º2–1
WHDodoma Jiji6º2–0
LHGeita Gold12º0–1
DATanzania Prisons13º0–0
DATanzania Prisons13º0–0
WHTanzania Prisons13º2–0

Season Schedule

Simba
WHMashujaa6–1
WHYoung Africans2–1
WAAzam2–0
WHGeita Gold2–0
WHCoastal Union1–0
WASingida Black Stars2–1
–HMbeya City24/10
–AFountain Gate28/10
–HNamungo02/11
Mbeya City
LHKagera Sugar1–3
LAPolisi Tanzania0–2
DATabora United0–0
WAFountain Gate2–0
WHMashujaa2–1
WHDodoma Jiji2–0
–AJKT Tanzania18/10
–ASimba24/10
–AAzam28/10

Top Scorers

Simba
C. Chama6 ⚽
L. Gueye4 ⚽
E. Mpanzu4 ⚽
A. A. Oura3 ⚽
M. Abraham2 ⚽
O. Toure2 ⚽
Mbeya City
2 ⚽
A. Buha1 ⚽
H. Haji1 ⚽
O. Mwajanga1 ⚽
W. Mwani1 ⚽
Y. Seleman Mbegu1 ⚽

Cards Given

Simba
4 🟨
A. Mligo1 🟨
A. Rafiu Kassali1 🟨
I. Jabaar1 🟨
K. Makgalwa1 🟨
M. Abraham1 🟨
Mbeya City
8 🟨
M. Nasoro1 🟨