Fountain Gate vs Simba — Ligi kuu Bara
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Fountain Gate and Simba meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Fountain Gate have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Simba have won 92% of their 12 matches, with 2.67 goals scored and 0.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.95 for Fountain Gate and 1.46 for Simba. The models give Fountain Gate a 17% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Simba win at 58%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Fountain Gate—
Simba16º
Position
1º
0.63
PPG
3.00
13%
Win %
100%
0.50
Goals / game
2.38
1.50
Conceded / game
0.50
38%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
42%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
9.0
0.0
Avg shots
25.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
11.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
64.0%
Home vs Away
Fountain Gate
Home (5)
—
Simba
Away (4)
0.80
PPG
3.00
20%
Win %
100%
0.60
Goals / game
2.00
1.40
Conceded / game
0.50
40%
BTTS %
43%
20%
Clean sheet %
43%
20%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
9.0
0.0
Avg shots
25.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
11.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
64.0%
Goals Scored
| Fountain Gate | Home | Away | Simba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 33% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 40% | 67% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Fountain Gate | Home | Away | Simba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 80% | 100% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 20% | 0% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fountain Gate | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fountain Gate | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 83% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 13% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Fountain Gate (H)D
Pamba Jiji1–1
Pamba Jiji1–1L
JKT Tanzania1–2
JKT Tanzania1–2L
Young Africans0–2
Young Africans0–2L
Mbeya City0–2
Mbeya City0–2W
Mashujaa1–0
Mashujaa1–0W
Singida Black Stars4–3
Singida Black Stars4–3Simba (A)W
15 de Agosto6–1
15 de Agosto6–1W
Azam2–0
Azam2–0W
Be Forward Wanderers1–0
Be Forward Wanderers1–0WSingida Black Stars2–1
Singida Black Stars2–1WPamba Jiji2–1
Pamba Jiji2–1W
Kagera Sugar2–0
Kagera Sugar2–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fountain Gate | Simba |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
0
Fountain Gate
0%
2
Draws
25%
6
Simba
75%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
75%
Over 2.5
6/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
15/04/26Simba
Fountain Gate
0–3Simba25/09/25Fountain Gate
Simba
3–0Fountain Gate06/02/25Simba
Fountain Gate
1–1Simba25/08/24Fountain Gate
Simba
4–0Fountain Gate12/03/24Fountain Gate
Simba
3–1Fountain Gate08/10/23Simba
Fountain Gate
1–2Simba03/02/23Fountain Gate
Simba
3–1Fountain Gate09/11/22Simba
Fountain Gate
1–1Simba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Namungo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Coastal Union | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Tabora United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Geita Gold | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Fountain Gate- ●Fountain Gate have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Fountain Gate failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fountain Gate have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fountain Gate failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Simba- ●Simba have won their last 8 matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Simba have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Simba have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Simba have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Simba have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Fountain GateDHPamba Jiji1–1
Pamba Jiji1–1LHJKT Tanzania1–2
JKT Tanzania1–2DAKagera Sugar1–1
Kagera Sugar1–1LHYoung Africans0–2
Young Africans0–2LHMbeya City0–2
Mbeya City0–2LANamungo0–1
Namungo0–1–AGeita Gold26/10
Geita Gold26/10–HSimba28/10
Simba28/10–ATabora United02/11
Tabora United02/11SimbaWHMashujaa6–1
Mashujaa6–1WHYoung Africans2–1
Young Africans2–1WAAzam2–0
Azam2–0WHGeita Gold2–0
Geita Gold2–0WHCoastal Union1–0
Coastal Union1–0WASingida Black Stars2–1
Singida Black Stars2–1–AFountain Gate28/10
Fountain Gate28/10–HNamungo02/11
Namungo02/11–AJKT Tanzania21/11
JKT Tanzania21/11Top Scorers
Fountain Gate3 ⚽
K. Haruna1 ⚽
SimbaC. Chama6 ⚽
E. Mpanzu5 ⚽
L. Gueye4 ⚽
A. A. Oura4 ⚽
M. Abraham2 ⚽
I. Doumbia2 ⚽
Cards Given
Fountain Gate10 🟨
Simba4 🟨
A. Mligo1 🟨
A. Rafiu Kassali1 🟨
I. Jabaar1 🟨
K. Makgalwa1 🟨
M. Abraham1 🟨