Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar — Ligi kuu Bara
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Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium·Dar-es-Salaam·Tanzania·60,000
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Young Africans and Kagera Sugar meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Young Africans have recorded 8 wins from 10 matches this season (80% win rate), averaging 2.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Kagera Sugar have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.25 for Young Africans and 0.97 for Kagera Sugar. The models give Young Africans a 70% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Kagera Sugar win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Young Africans—
Kagera Sugar2º
Position
14º
2.57
PPG
0.71
86%
Win %
14%
2.43
Goals / game
1.14
0.57
Conceded / game
2.14
50%
BTTS %
71%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Young Africans
Home (4)
—
Kagera Sugar
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
33%
2.75
Goals / game
2.00
0.25
Conceded / game
3.00
40%
BTTS %
100%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Young Africans | Home | Away | Kagera Sugar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 80% | 40% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Young Africans | Home | Away | Kagera Sugar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Young Africans | Kagera Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 14% |
| BTTS | 50% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Young Africans | Kagera Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 10% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 70% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Young Africans (H)W
Geita Gold1–0
Geita Gold1–0W
Gaborone United2–1
Gaborone United2–1W
Pamba Jiji2–0
Pamba Jiji2–0W
JKT Tanzania4–0
JKT Tanzania4–0W
Coastal Union4–1
Coastal Union4–1W
Tabora United3–0
Tabora United3–0Kagera Sugar (A)W
Mbeya City3–1
Mbeya City3–1L
Mashujaa1–2
Mashujaa1–2LGeita Gold2–6
Geita Gold2–6L
Simba0–1
Simba0–1D
Namungo0–0
Namungo0–0L
Dodoma Jiji0–2
Dodoma Jiji0–2Head to Head · 18 matches
15
Young Africans
83%
2
Draws
11%
1
Kagera Sugar
6%
67%
Over 1.5
12/18
56%
Over 2.5
10/18
28%
Over 3.5
5/18
28%
BTTS
5/18
01/02/25Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
4–0Kagera Sugar29/08/24Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
0–2Young Africans08/05/24Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
1–0Kagera Sugar02/02/24Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
0–0Young Africans11/04/23Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
5–0Kagera Sugar13/11/22Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
0–1Young Africans27/02/22Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
3–0Kagera Sugar29/09/21Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
0–1Young Africans17/02/21Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
3–3Kagera Sugar19/09/20Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
0–1Young Africans08/07/20Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
0–1Young Africans15/01/20Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
0–3Kagera Sugar09/03/18Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
3–0Kagera Sugar14/10/17Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
1–2Young Africans09/05/17Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
2–1Kagera Sugar22/10/16Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
2–6Young Africans03/04/16Kagera Sugar
Young Africans
3–1Kagera Sugar31/10/15Young Africans
Kagera Sugar
0–2Young Africans| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |  Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Young Africans- ●Young Africans have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Young Africans have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Young Africans have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Young Africans have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●65% of Young Africans's goals have been scored at home.
Kagera Sugar- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●75% of Kagera Sugar's goals have been scored away.
- ●Kagera Sugar have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Young AfricansLASimba1–2
Simba1–2WHGeita Gold1–0
Geita Gold1–0WAFountain Gate2–0
Fountain Gate2–0WHPamba Jiji2–0
Pamba Jiji2–0WHJKT Tanzania4–0
JKT Tanzania4–0WHCoastal Union4–1
Coastal Union4–1–ATabora United13/10
Tabora United13/10–ADodoma Jiji24/10
Dodoma Jiji24/10–HMashujaa27/10
Mashujaa27/10Kagera SugarWAMbeya City3–1
Mbeya City3–1DHFountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1LHAzam0–2
Azam0–2LAMashujaa1–2
Mashujaa1–2LAGeita Gold2–6
Geita Gold2–6DHSingida Black Stars1–1
Singida Black Stars1–1–HPolisi Tanzania17/10
Polisi Tanzania17/10–AJKT Tanzania24/10
JKT Tanzania24/10–ACoastal Union28/10
Coastal Union28/10Top Scorers
Young Africans9 ⚽
M. Nzengeli3 ⚽
M. Yahya2 ⚽
P. Shalulile2 ⚽
A. Kangwanda1 ⚽
F. Komara1 ⚽
Kagera SugarM. Said3 ⚽
E. Mvuyekule1 ⚽
H. Mwaterema1 ⚽
K. Feka1 ⚽
R. Mathias1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Young Africans4 🟨
A. Andabwile1 🟨
A. Kangwanda1 🟨
F. Ngoma1 🟨
Kagera Sugar7 🟨
D. Mhilu1 🟨