Mbeya City vs Young Africans — Ligi kuu Bara
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Sokoine Stadium·Mbeya·Tanzania·10,000
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Mbeya City and Young Africans meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Mbeya City have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Young Africans have won 77% of their 13 matches, with 2.23 goals scored and 0.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 54%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Mbeya City and 1.22 for Young Africans. The models give Mbeya City a 26% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Young Africans win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Mbeya City—
Young Africans10º
Position
2º
1.25
PPG
2.38
38%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
2.13
1.13
Conceded / game
0.50
38%
BTTS %
46%
38%
Clean sheet %
54%
38%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mbeya City
Home (4)
—
Young Africans
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.75
50%
Win %
50%
1.25
Goals / game
1.50
1.25
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
43%
25%
Clean sheet %
57%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mbeya City | Home | Away | Young Africans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 62% | 83% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 50% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Mbeya City | Home | Away | Young Africans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 50% | 54% | 50% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mbeya City | Young Africans | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS | 38% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mbeya City | Young Africans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 8% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 69% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Mbeya City (H)L
Kagera Sugar1–3
Kagera Sugar1–3W
Mashujaa2–1
Mashujaa2–1W
Dodoma Jiji2–0
Dodoma Jiji2–0L
Geita Gold0–1
Geita Gold0–1W
Tanzania Prisons2–0
Tanzania Prisons2–0D
Tabora United0–0
Tabora United0–0Young Africans (A)DTabora United0–0
Tabora United0–0W
CFFA4–0
CFFA4–0L
Simba1–2
Simba1–2D
Gaborone United1–1
Gaborone United1–1W
Fountain Gate2–0
Fountain Gate2–0W
Namungo3–1
Namungo3–1Head to Head · 16 matches
1
Mbeya City
6%
8
Draws
50%
7
Young Africans
44%
75%
Over 1.5
12/16
38%
Over 2.5
6/16
19%
Over 3.5
3/16
44%
BTTS
7/16
16/04/26Mbeya City
Young Africans
6–0Mbeya City30/09/25Young Africans
Mbeya City
0–0Young Africans06/06/23Young Africans
Mbeya City
3–3Young Africans26/11/22Mbeya City
Young Africans
2–0Mbeya City25/06/22Young Africans
Mbeya City
1–1Young Africans05/02/22Mbeya City
Young Africans
0–0Mbeya City13/02/21Young Africans
Mbeya City
1–1Young Africans13/09/20Mbeya City
Young Africans
1–0Mbeya City11/02/20Mbeya City
Young Africans
1–1Mbeya City24/12/19Young Africans
Mbeya City
0–0Young Africans22/04/18Young Africans
Mbeya City
1–1Young Africans19/11/17Mbeya City
Young Africans
5–0Mbeya City13/05/17Mbeya City
Young Africans
2–1Mbeya City02/11/16Young Africans
Mbeya City
2–1Young Africans10/05/16Young Africans
Mbeya City
0–2Young Africans26/12/15Mbeya City
Young Africans
3–0Mbeya City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  JKT Tanzania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Coastal Union | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Tabora United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Mbeya City- ●Mbeya City have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●63% of Mbeya City's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Mbeya City have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Young Africans- ●Young Africans have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Young Africans have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Young Africans have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●65% of Young Africans's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Mbeya CityLAJKT Tanzania1–2
JKT Tanzania1–2LHKagera Sugar1–3
Kagera Sugar1–3LAPolisi Tanzania0–2
Polisi Tanzania0–2DATabora United0–0
Tabora United0–0WAFountain Gate2–0
Fountain Gate2–0WHMashujaa2–1
Mashujaa2–1–AAzam28/10
Azam28/10–HSingida Black Stars02/11
Singida Black Stars02/11–ANamungo20/11
Namungo20/11Young AfricansDATabora United0–0
Tabora United0–0LASimba1–2
Simba1–2WHGeita Gold1–0
Geita Gold1–0WAFountain Gate2–0
Fountain Gate2–0WHPamba Jiji2–0
Pamba Jiji2–0WHJKT Tanzania4–0
JKT Tanzania4–0–HMashujaa27/10
Mashujaa27/10–HKagera Sugar01/11
Kagera Sugar01/11–APolisi Tanzania20/11
Polisi Tanzania20/11Top Scorers
Mbeya City2 ⚽
H. Haji1 ⚽
J. Mbaga1 ⚽
A. Buha1 ⚽
W. Mwani1 ⚽
Y. Seleman Mbegu1 ⚽
Young Africans9 ⚽
M. Nzengeli4 ⚽
M. Yahya3 ⚽
S. Mwalimu3 ⚽
A. Kangwanda2 ⚽
C. Toure2 ⚽
Cards Given
Mbeya City10 🟨
M. Nasoro1 🟨
Young Africans5 🟨
A. Andabwile1 🟨
A. Kangwanda1 🟨
F. Ngoma1 🟨