Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji — Ligi kuu Bara
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Mbeya City and Pamba Jiji meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Mbeya City have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Pamba Jiji have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Mbeya City and 0.94 for Pamba Jiji. The models give Mbeya City a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pamba Jiji win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Mbeya CityPamba JijiHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mbeya City | Home | Away | Pamba Jiji | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Mbeya City | Home | Away | Pamba Jiji | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 50% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mbeya City | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mbeya City | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 89% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 11% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 100% |
Recent Venue Form
Mbeya City (H)
Kagera Sugar1–3
Mashujaa2–1
Dodoma Jiji2–0
Geita Gold0–1
Tanzania Prisons2–0
Tabora United0–0Pamba Jiji (A)
Polisi Tanzania1–1
Fountain Gate1–1
JKT Tanzania0–3
Young Africans0–2
Azam1–2
Coastal Union1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Mbeya CityPamba Jiji| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | JKT Tanzania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Mbeya City- ●Mbeya City have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●63% of Mbeya City's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Mbeya City have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Pamba Jiji- ●Pamba Jiji have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Pamba Jiji's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Pamba Jiji have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Pamba Jiji have conceded 93% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Mbeya CityJKT Tanzania1–2Kagera Sugar1–3Polisi Tanzania0–2Tabora United0–0Fountain Gate2–0Mashujaa2–1Azam28/10Singida Black Stars02/11Namungo20/11Pamba JijiPolisi Tanzania1–1Fountain Gate1–1Geita Gold4–0Tabora United1–3JKT Tanzania0–3Young Africans0–2Singida Black Stars29/10Mashujaa02/11Coastal Union21/11Top Scorers
Mbeya CityPamba JijiCards Given
Mbeya CityPamba Jiji