Mbeya City vs Coastal Union — Ligi kuu Bara
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Sokoine Stadium·Mbeya·Tanzania·10,000
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Mbeya City and Coastal Union meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 11 December 2026. Mbeya City have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Coastal Union have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Mbeya City and 1.03 for Coastal Union. The models give Mbeya City a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Coastal Union win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Mbeya City—
Coastal Union12º
Position
10º
1.11
PPG
1.27
33%
Win %
36%
0.89
Goals / game
0.82
1.44
Conceded / game
1.18
33%
BTTS %
45%
33%
Clean sheet %
27%
44%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mbeya City
Home (4)
—
Coastal Union
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.75
50%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
75%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mbeya City | Home | Away | Coastal Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 75% | 40% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 25% | 60% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Mbeya City | Home | Away | Coastal Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 75% | 60% | 73% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 27% | 14% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 25% | 40% | 27% | 43% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mbeya City | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS | 33% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mbeya City | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Mbeya City (H)L
Kagera Sugar1–3
Kagera Sugar1–3W
Mashujaa2–1
Mashujaa2–1W
Dodoma Jiji2–0
Dodoma Jiji2–0L
Geita Gold0–1
Geita Gold0–1W
Tanzania Prisons2–0
Tanzania Prisons2–0D
Tabora United0–0
Tabora United0–0Coastal Union (A)L
Namungo1–2
Namungo1–2W
Polisi Tanzania2–1
Polisi Tanzania2–1L
Simba0–1
Simba0–1L
Young Africans1–4
Young Africans1–4DTabora United1–1
Tabora United1–1W
KMC3–1
KMC3–1Head to Head · 12 matches
3
Mbeya City
25%
3
Draws
25%
6
Coastal Union
50%
75%
Over 1.5
9/12
33%
Over 2.5
4/12
33%
Over 3.5
4/12
33%
BTTS
4/12
13/05/26Coastal Union
Mbeya City
0–2Coastal Union26/11/25Mbeya City
Coastal Union
2–0Mbeya City18/02/23Mbeya City
Coastal Union
1–0Mbeya City13/11/22Coastal Union
Mbeya City
2–2Coastal Union24/05/22Coastal Union
Mbeya City
0–1Coastal Union24/12/21Mbeya City
Coastal Union
3–2Mbeya City18/06/21Coastal Union
Mbeya City
2–0Coastal Union05/12/20Mbeya City
Coastal Union
0–0Mbeya City06/07/20Coastal Union
Mbeya City
3–1Coastal Union30/12/19Mbeya City
Coastal Union
2–0Mbeya City02/04/16Coastal Union
Mbeya City
4–0Coastal Union31/10/15Mbeya City
Coastal Union
1–1Mbeya City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Azam | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 |  JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 | Namungo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Fountain Gate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Mbeya City- ●Mbeya City have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Mbeya City have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Mbeya City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Mbeya City's goals have been scored at home.
Coastal Union- ●Coastal Union have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Coastal Union have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Coastal Union have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Coastal Union have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●79% of Coastal Union's points have been earned at home.
- ●Coastal Union have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Mbeya CityLAAzam0–4
Azam0–4LAJKT Tanzania1–2
JKT Tanzania1–2LHKagera Sugar1–3
Kagera Sugar1–3LAPolisi Tanzania0–2
Polisi Tanzania0–2DATabora United0–0
Tabora United0–0WAFountain Gate2–0
Fountain Gate2–0–HSingida Black Stars02/11
Singida Black Stars02/11–ANamungo20/11
Namungo20/11–HYoung Africans28/11
Young Africans28/11Coastal UnionDHDodoma Jiji0–0
Dodoma Jiji0–0WHKagera Sugar1–0
Kagera Sugar1–0LANamungo1–2
Namungo1–2WHSingida Black Stars1–0
Singida Black Stars1–0LHAzam0–2
Azam0–2WHJKT Tanzania2–1
JKT Tanzania2–1–APamba Jiji21/11
Pamba Jiji21/11–AGeita Gold29/11
Geita Gold29/11–HFountain Gate05/12
Fountain Gate05/12Top Scorers
Mbeya City2 ⚽
H. Haji1 ⚽
J. Mbaga1 ⚽
A. Buha1 ⚽
W. Mwani1 ⚽
Y. Seleman Mbegu1 ⚽
Coastal UnionK. Gradi2 ⚽
M. Maulid2 ⚽
S. Kichuya1 ⚽
Cards Given
Mbeya City11 🟨
M. Nasoro1 🟨
Coastal Union2 🟨