Kagera Sugar vs Pamba Jiji — Ligi kuu Bara
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Kaitaba Stadium·Bukoba·Tanzania·5,000
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Kagera Sugar and Pamba Jiji meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 29 December 2026. Kagera Sugar have recorded 1 wins from 11 matches this season (9% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Pamba Jiji have won 9% of their 11 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Kagera Sugar and 0.93 for Pamba Jiji. The models give Kagera Sugar a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Pamba Jiji win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Kagera Sugar—
Pamba Jiji16º
Position
14º
0.55
PPG
0.55
9%
Win %
9%
0.82
Goals / game
0.91
2.00
Conceded / game
1.55
55%
BTTS %
55%
0%
Clean sheet %
9%
36%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kagera Sugar
Home (5)
—
Pamba Jiji
Away (6)
0.60
PPG
0.33
0%
Win %
0%
0.60
Goals / game
0.50
1.40
Conceded / game
1.67
60%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kagera Sugar | Home | Away | Pamba Jiji | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 60% | 50% | 64% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 0% | 33% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 40% | 50% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Kagera Sugar | Home | Away | Pamba Jiji | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 91% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 40% | 50% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 33% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kagera Sugar | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kagera Sugar | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 82% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 18% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 82% |
Recent Venue Form
Kagera Sugar (H)D
Polisi Tanzania1–1
Polisi Tanzania1–1D
Fountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1L
Azam0–2
Azam0–2D
Singida Black Stars1–1
Singida Black Stars1–1L
Simba0–2
Simba0–2L
Mashujaa0–1
Mashujaa0–1Pamba Jiji (A)LMashujaa0–1
Mashujaa0–1DPolisi Tanzania1–1
Polisi Tanzania1–1DFountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1L
JKT Tanzania0–3
JKT Tanzania0–3L
Young Africans0–2
Young Africans0–2LAzam1–2
Azam1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Kagera Sugar
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Pamba Jiji
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
07/03/25Pamba Jiji
Kagera Sugar
2–1Pamba Jiji20/10/24Kagera Sugar
Pamba Jiji
1–1Kagera Sugar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Azam | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Namungo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Tabora United | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Geita Gold | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Kagera Sugar- ●Kagera Sugar have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kagera Sugar have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Kagera Sugar's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Kagera Sugar's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Kagera Sugar have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Pamba Jiji- ●Pamba Jiji have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Pamba Jiji have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Pamba Jiji's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Pamba Jiji have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Pamba Jiji have conceded 88% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Kagera SugarLAYoung Africans0–4
Young Africans0–4LACoastal Union0–1
Coastal Union0–1LAJKT Tanzania0–1
JKT Tanzania0–1DHPolisi Tanzania1–1
Polisi Tanzania1–1WAMbeya City3–1
Mbeya City3–1DHFountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1–HTabora United22/11
Tabora United22/11–HDodoma Jiji27/11
Dodoma Jiji27/11–HNamungo06/12
Namungo06/12Pamba JijiLAMashujaa0–1
Mashujaa0–1LHSingida Black Stars0–1
Singida Black Stars0–1DAPolisi Tanzania1–1
Polisi Tanzania1–1DAFountain Gate1–1
Fountain Gate1–1WHGeita Gold4–0
Geita Gold4–0LHTabora United1–3
Tabora United1–3–HCoastal Union21/11
Coastal Union21/11–HNamungo27/11
Namungo27/11–AMbeya City04/12
Mbeya City04/12Top Scorers
Kagera SugarM. Said3 ⚽
H. Mwaterema1 ⚽
K. Feka1 ⚽
E. Mvuyekule1 ⚽
N. Shaban1 ⚽
R. Mathias1 ⚽
Pamba JijiI. Diomande2 ⚽
D. Mafie2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Z. Mayombya1 ⚽
N. Ndwangou1 ⚽
H. Msabila1 ⚽
Cards Given
Kagera Sugar11 🟨
D. Mhilu1 🟨
Pamba Jiji14 🟨
S. Oyugi Siwa1 🟨
Z. Hamis1 🟨