Polisi Tanzania vs Simba — Ligi kuu Bara
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Polisi Tanzania and Simba meet in the Ligi kuu Bara 2026 season on 31 December 2026. Polisi Tanzania have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Simba have won 93% of their 15 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Polisi Tanzania and 1.11 for Simba. The models give Polisi Tanzania a 27% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Simba win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Polisi Tanzania—
Simba6º
Position
1º
1.36
PPG
3.00
36%
Win %
100%
1.18
Goals / game
2.30
1.09
Conceded / game
0.60
55%
BTTS %
47%
36%
Clean sheet %
47%
27%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
9.0
0.0
Avg shots
25.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
11.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
64.0%
Home vs Away
Polisi Tanzania
Home (6)
—
Simba
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
3.00
50%
Win %
100%
1.33
Goals / game
1.80
0.67
Conceded / game
0.40
50%
BTTS %
38%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
9.0
0.0
Avg shots
25.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
11.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
64.0%
Goals Scored
| Polisi Tanzania | Home | Away | Simba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 80% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 20% | 73% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 57% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Polisi Tanzania | Home | Away | Simba | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 80% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 17% | 40% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 20% | 47% | 43% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Polisi Tanzania | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 27% |
| BTTS | 55% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 47% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Polisi Tanzania | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 80% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 64% | 7% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Polisi Tanzania (H)W
Geita Gold1–0
Geita Gold1–0D
Pamba Jiji1–1
Pamba Jiji1–1W
Mbeya City2–0
Mbeya City2–0L
Coastal Union1–2
Coastal Union1–2W
JKT Tanzania2–0
JKT Tanzania2–0D
Azam1–1
Azam1–1Simba (A)W
Fountain Gate1–0
Fountain Gate1–0W
15 de Agosto6–1
15 de Agosto6–1WAzam2–0
Azam2–0W
Be Forward Wanderers1–0
Be Forward Wanderers1–0W
Singida Black Stars2–1
Singida Black Stars2–1WPamba Jiji2–1
Pamba Jiji2–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Polisi Tanzania | Simba |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
0
Polisi Tanzania
0%
1
Draws
13%
7
Simba
88%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
06/06/23Polisi Tanzania
Simba
6–1Polisi Tanzania27/11/22Simba
Polisi Tanzania
1–3Simba10/04/22Simba
Polisi Tanzania
0–0Simba27/10/21Polisi Tanzania
Simba
1–0Polisi Tanzania18/06/21Simba
Polisi Tanzania
0–1Simba09/12/20Polisi Tanzania
Simba
2–0Polisi Tanzania26/07/20Simba
Polisi Tanzania
1–2Simba04/02/20Polisi Tanzania
Simba
2–1Polisi Tanzania| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 |  Young Africans | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Azam | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Namungo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Mashujaa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Tabora United | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 16 |  Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Polisi Tanzania- ●Polisi Tanzania have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Polisi Tanzania failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Polisi Tanzania's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Polisi Tanzania's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Polisi Tanzania have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Simba- ●Simba have won their last 10 matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Simba have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Simba have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Simba have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Simba have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Simba have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Simba have won 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Simba have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Polisi TanzaniaWHGeita Gold1–0
Geita Gold1–0LANamungo0–1
Namungo0–1DHPamba Jiji1–1
Pamba Jiji1–1DAKagera Sugar1–1
Kagera Sugar1–1LAMashujaa1–2
Mashujaa1–2WHMbeya City2–0
Mbeya City2–0–HYoung Africans20/11
Young Africans20/11–ASimba28/11
Simba28/11–ATabora United04/12
Tabora United04/12SimbaWHNamungo3–2
Namungo3–2WAFountain Gate1–0
Fountain Gate1–0WHMashujaa6–1
Mashujaa6–1WHYoung Africans2–1
Young Africans2–1WAAzam2–0
Azam2–0WHGeita Gold2–0
Geita Gold2–0–AJKT Tanzania21/11
JKT Tanzania21/11–HPolisi Tanzania28/11
Polisi Tanzania28/11–HDodoma Jiji05/12
Dodoma Jiji05/12Top Scorers
Polisi TanzaniaA. Jabiri5 ⚽
5 ⚽
H. Kyombo1 ⚽
J. Mtegeta1 ⚽
K. Kunambi1 ⚽
SimbaA. A. Oura6 ⚽
C. Chama6 ⚽
E. Mpanzu5 ⚽
L. Gueye4 ⚽
R. De Reuck3 ⚽
M. Abraham2 ⚽
Cards Given
Polisi Tanzania15 🟨
Simba4 🟨
A. Mligo1 🟨
A. Rafiu Kassali1 🟨
I. Jabaar1 🟨
K. Makgalwa1 🟨
M. Abraham1 🟨