Boden vs Lucksta — Division 2 - Norrland
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Boden and Lucksta meet in the Division 2 - Norrland 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Boden have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Lucksta have won 31% of their 26 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 2.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Boden and 1.80 for Lucksta. The models give Boden a 46% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Lucksta win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Boden—
Lucksta4º
Position
3º
1.42
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
42%
1.25
Goals / game
2.17
1.17
Conceded / game
2.17
60%
BTTS %
77%
24%
Clean sheet %
12%
44%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Boden
Home (6)
—
Lucksta
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
2.33
1.50
Conceded / game
2.17
67%
BTTS %
85%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Boden | Home | Away | Lucksta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 92% | 77% | 88% | 92% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 31% | 50% | 62% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 4% | 8% | 0% | 27% | 31% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 8% | 23% | 12% | 8% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Boden | Home | Away | Lucksta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 77% | 88% | 77% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 50% | 46% | 58% | 54% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 17% | 23% | 50% | 38% | 62% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 23% | 12% | 23% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boden | Lucksta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 42% |
| BTTS | 60% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boden | Lucksta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Boden (H)L
Skellefteå0–2
Skellefteå0–2W
IFK Luleå1–0
IFK Luleå1–0L
Kubikenborg1–2
Kubikenborg1–2D
IFK Östersund2–2
IFK Östersund2–2W
Gottne3–2
Gottne3–2W
Täfteå2–1
Täfteå2–1Lucksta (A)LIFK Luleå1–3
IFK Luleå1–3LKubikenborg2–4
Kubikenborg2–4DGottne1–1
Gottne1–1LTäfteå1–4
Täfteå1–4LIFK Östersund0–1
IFK Östersund0–1LSkellefteå0–3
Skellefteå0–3Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Boden
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Lucksta
40%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
100%
Over 2.5
5/5
60%
Over 3.5
3/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
01/08/26Boden
Lucksta
3–0Boden13/09/25Boden
Lucksta
1–3Boden02/08/25Lucksta
Boden
1–2Lucksta10/08/24Lucksta
Boden
3–1Lucksta07/04/24Boden
Lucksta
2–2Boden| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 |  Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 |  Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 7 |  IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
Team Insights
Boden- ●Boden failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Boden failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Boden have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Boden failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Boden have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Boden have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Lucksta- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lucksta have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Lucksta failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lucksta have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BodenWATäfteå2–1
Täfteå2–1LAGottne2–4
Gottne2–4LAIFK Östersund0–2
IFK Östersund0–2LHSkellefteå0–2
Skellefteå0–2WHIFK Luleå1–0
IFK Luleå1–0LAKubikenborg1–6
Kubikenborg1–6–HLucksta17/10
Lucksta17/10LuckstaWHSkellefteå2–1
Skellefteå2–1LHIFK Östersund2–5
IFK Östersund2–5LHTäfteå1–2
Täfteå1–2LAIFK Luleå1–3
IFK Luleå1–3LAKubikenborg2–4
Kubikenborg2–4WHGottne4–2
Gottne4–2–ABoden17/10
Boden17/10Top Scorers
BodenM. Bello13 ⚽
S. Amine Hejai5 ⚽
W. Roberts2 ⚽
K. Dugas2 ⚽
T. Warne2 ⚽
I. Burman1 ⚽
LuckstaA. Turay13 ⚽
A. Shino6 ⚽
A. Gibrill During4 ⚽
Y. Shino3 ⚽
T. Molin3 ⚽
B. Nian2 ⚽
Cards Given
BodenM. Bello2 🟨
S. Amine Hejai1 🟨
LuckstaN. Drinic2 🟨