IFK Östersund vs IFK Luleå — Division 2 - Norrland
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IFK Östersund and IFK Luleå meet in the Division 2 - Norrland 2026 season on 17 October 2026. IFK Östersund have recorded 12 wins from 29 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 2.03 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. IFK Luleå have won 67% of their 27 matches, with 2.22 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for IFK Östersund and 2.00 for IFK Luleå. The models give IFK Östersund a 39% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an IFK Luleå win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
IFK Östersund—
IFK Luleå4º
Position
3º
1.42
PPG
2.08
33%
Win %
67%
1.92
Goals / game
2.67
1.67
Conceded / game
1.17
62%
BTTS %
67%
24%
Clean sheet %
19%
59%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
IFK Östersund
Home (6)
—
IFK Luleå
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
2.50
33%
Win %
83%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
71%
50%
Clean sheet %
21%
57%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| IFK Östersund | Home | Away | IFK Luleå | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 93% | 73% | 85% | 77% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 57% | 47% | 56% | 62% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 36% | 27% | 44% | 54% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 7% | 27% | 15% | 23% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| IFK Östersund | Home | Away | IFK Luleå | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 50% | 100% | 81% | 85% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 36% | 73% | 26% | 23% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 21% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 50% | 0% | 19% | 15% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| IFK Östersund | IFK Luleå | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 33% |
| BTTS | 62% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 48% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| IFK Östersund | IFK Luleå | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 74% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
IFK Östersund (H)W
Boden2–0
Boden2–0W
Gottne4–0
Gottne4–0W
Skellefteå5–0
Skellefteå5–0W
Täfteå6–2
Täfteå6–2L
Degerfors IF1–5
Degerfors IF1–5W
Lucksta1–0
Lucksta1–0IFK Luleå (A)W
Kubikenborg1–0
Kubikenborg1–0LBoden0–1
Boden0–1WTäfteå2–1
Täfteå2–1WLucksta1–0
Lucksta1–0LSkellefteå1–3
Skellefteå1–3WGottne1–0
Gottne1–0Head to Head · 13 matches
5
IFK Östersund
38%
3
Draws
23%
5
IFK Luleå
38%
69%
Over 1.5
9/13
62%
Over 2.5
8/13
46%
Over 3.5
6/13
62%
BTTS
8/13
01/08/26IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
4–3IFK Östersund11/10/25IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
3–4IFK Östersund09/08/25IFK Luleå
IFK Östersund
2–1IFK Luleå21/09/24IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
1–1IFK Östersund21/04/24IFK Luleå
IFK Östersund
2–2IFK Luleå23/09/23IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
4–1IFK Östersund03/06/23IFK Luleå
IFK Östersund
0–0IFK Luleå24/09/22IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
2–3IFK Östersund26/05/22IFK Luleå
IFK Östersund
0–1IFK Luleå24/08/19IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
1–0IFK Östersund12/05/19IFK Luleå
IFK Östersund
3–0IFK Luleå02/09/18IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
1–3IFK Östersund12/05/18IFK Luleå
IFK Östersund
0–1IFK Luleå| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 |  Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 |  Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 7 |  IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
Team Insights
IFK Östersund- ●IFK Östersund have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●IFK Östersund have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●IFK Östersund have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●IFK Östersund failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●IFK Östersund have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●IFK Östersund have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●IFK Östersund have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●IFK Östersund failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●IFK Östersund have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●70% of IFK Östersund's goals conceded were conceded away.
IFK Luleå- ●IFK Luleå have won their last 4 matches.
- ●IFK Luleå have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●IFK Luleå failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●IFK Luleå have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●IFK Luleå failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●IFK Luleå failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●IFK Luleå have won 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●IFK Luleå have scored in 11 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
IFK ÖstersundLAKubikenborg0–2
Kubikenborg0–2WALucksta5–2
Lucksta5–2WHBoden2–0
Boden2–0LATäfteå1–2
Täfteå1–2WHGottne4–0
Gottne4–0WHSkellefteå5–0
Skellefteå5–0–HIFK Luleå17/10
IFK Luleå17/10IFK LuleåWHGottne3–1
Gottne3–1WHSkellefteå4–2
Skellefteå4–2WAKubikenborg1–0
Kubikenborg1–0WHLucksta3–1
Lucksta3–1LABoden0–1
Boden0–1WATäfteå2–1
Täfteå2–1–AIFK Östersund17/10
IFK Östersund17/10Top Scorers
IFK ÖstersundI. Haggman16 ⚽
R. Essebrink6 ⚽
J. Hultdin6 ⚽
H. Loof5 ⚽
K. Wikman4 ⚽
S. Talsi4 ⚽
IFK LuleåW. Nordell12 ⚽
J. Brannstrom11 ⚽
E. Ring7 ⚽
N. Nilsson3 ⚽
H. Bergman3 ⚽
H. Frishammar3 ⚽
Cards Given
IFK ÖstersundIFK LuleåV. Eriksson1 🟨