Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita — Liga de Ascenso
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Aserri FC and AD Carmelita meet in the Liga de Ascenso 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Aserri FC have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. AD Carmelita have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Aserri FC and 1.15 for AD Carmelita. The models give Aserri FC a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an AD Carmelita win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Aserri FC—
AD Carmelita1º
Position
10º
1.67
PPG
0.86
50%
Win %
14%
1.33
Goals / game
1.29
1.08
Conceded / game
1.57
67%
BTTS %
86%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aserri FC
Home (5)
—
AD Carmelita
Away (3)
1.60
PPG
1.67
40%
Win %
33%
1.40
Goals / game
1.33
1.20
Conceded / game
1.00
80%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
40%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aserri FC | Home | Away | AD Carmelita | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 40% | 43% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Aserri FC | Home | Away | AD Carmelita | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 71% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 29% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 29% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aserri FC | AD Carmelita | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS | 67% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aserri FC | AD Carmelita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 8% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Aserri FC (H)W
AD Cofutpa2–1
AD Cofutpa2–1D
Cariari Pococi1–1
Cariari Pococi1–1W
Municipal Grecia3–2
Municipal Grecia3–2D
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC1–1
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC1–1L
ADR Jicaral0–1
ADR Jicaral0–1DCariari Pococi2–2
Cariari Pococi2–2AD Carmelita (A)DCariari Pococi1–1
Cariari Pococi1–1W
Guadalupe FC1–0
Guadalupe FC1–0D
CS Uruguay2–2
CS Uruguay2–2DAserri FC0–0
Aserri FC0–0LCS Uruguay0–3
CS Uruguay0–3LCariari Pococi1–2
Cariari Pococi1–2Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Aserri FC
29%
3
Draws
43%
2
AD Carmelita
29%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
28/08/26Aserri FC
AD Carmelita
1–2Aserri FC31/03/26AD Carmelita
Aserri FC
0–0AD Carmelita15/02/26Aserri FC
AD Carmelita
2–2Aserri FC02/11/25Aserri FC
AD Carmelita
1–1Aserri FC19/09/25AD Carmelita
Aserri FC
1–0AD Carmelita26/04/22AD Carmelita
Aserri FC
2–3AD Carmelita19/04/22Aserri FC
AD Carmelita
1–0Aserri FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aserri FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 2 |  Santa Ana | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | ADR Jicaral | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Municipal Grecia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Quepos Cambute | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Cariari Pococi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  AD Sarchí | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | CS Uruguay | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | AD Carmelita | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Santa Cruz FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalupe FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Futbol Consultants Moravia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 1 |
| 14 | AD Cofutpa | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aserri FC- ●Aserri FC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Aserri FC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Aserri FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Aserri FC have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●60% of Aserri FC's points have been earned away.
AD Carmelita- ●AD Carmelita have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●73% of AD Carmelita's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●83% of AD Carmelita's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Aserri FCWHAD Cofutpa2–1
AD Cofutpa2–1WACS Uruguay1–0
CS Uruguay1–0LAAD Sarchí1–2
AD Sarchí1–2DHCariari Pococi1–1
Cariari Pococi1–1WASanta Cruz FC2–1
Santa Cruz FC2–1WAAD Carmelita2–1
AD Carmelita2–1–HSanta Ana20/09
Santa Ana20/09–AADR Jicaral20/09
ADR Jicaral20/09–AFutbol Consultants Moravia27/09
Futbol Consultants Moravia27/09AD CarmelitaDACariari Pococi1–1
Cariari Pococi1–1LHPitbulls Santa Barbara FC1–2
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC1–2LHAserri FC1–2
Aserri FC1–2WAGuadalupe FC1–0
Guadalupe FC1–0DHFutbol Consultants Moravia1–1
Futbol Consultants Moravia1–1LHSanta Ana2–3
Santa Ana2–3–HCS Uruguay18/09
CS Uruguay18/09–ASanta Ana27/09
Santa Ana27/09–AFutbol Consultants Moravia04/10
Futbol Consultants Moravia04/10Top Scorers
Aserri FC9 ⚽
E. Solano1 ⚽
J. Borbon1 ⚽
O. Gomez1 ⚽
A. Camacho1 ⚽
R. Silva1 ⚽
AD Carmelita2 ⚽
F. Rodriguez1 ⚽
P. Hidalgo1 ⚽
S. Gonzalez1 ⚽
D. Duarte1 ⚽
W. Villalobos1 ⚽