Aserri FC vs Santa Cruz FC — Liga de Ascenso
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Aserri FC and Santa Cruz FC meet in the Liga de Ascenso 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Aserri FC have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Santa Cruz FC have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Aserri FC and 1.01 for Santa Cruz FC. The models give Aserri FC a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Santa Cruz FC win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aserri FC | Home | Away | Santa Cruz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 86% | 83% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 40% | 43% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 14% | 17% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Aserri FC | Home | Away | Santa Cruz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 71% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 29% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 29% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aserri FC | Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS | 67% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aserri FC | Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 80% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 80% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 8% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 15 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 1 | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Aserri FC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Aserri FC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Aserri FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Aserri FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Aserri FC have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Aserri FC have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●60% of Aserri FC's points have been earned away.
- ●Santa Cruz FC have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Santa Cruz FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●90% of Santa Cruz FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Santa Cruz FC's points have been earned at home.