AD Carmelita vs Cariari Pococi — Liga de Ascenso
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AD Carmelita and Cariari Pococi meet in the Liga de Ascenso 2026 season on 1 November 2026. AD Carmelita have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Cariari Pococi have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for AD Carmelita and 1.02 for Cariari Pococi. The models give AD Carmelita a 44% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Cariari Pococi win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
AD Carmelita—
Cariari Pococi6º
Position
7º
1.33
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
1.00
58%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AD Carmelita
Home (7)
—
Cariari Pococi
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.17
29%
Win %
33%
1.71
Goals / game
0.50
1.43
Conceded / game
0.67
57%
BTTS %
17%
29%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AD Carmelita | Home | Away | Cariari Pococi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 86% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 29% | 40% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 14% | 20% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Carmelita | Home | Away | Cariari Pococi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 71% | 60% | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 57% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 29% | 40% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Carmelita | Cariari Pococi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Carmelita | Cariari Pococi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 8% |
Recent Venue Form
AD Carmelita (H)L
Guadalupe FC0–2
Guadalupe FC0–2W
Santa Ana1–0
Santa Ana1–0W
CS Uruguay6–0
CS Uruguay6–0L
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC1–2
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC1–2L
Aserri FC1–2
Aserri FC1–2D
Futbol Consultants Moravia1–1
Futbol Consultants Moravia1–1Cariari Pococi (A)LGuadalupe FC0–1
Guadalupe FC0–1LSanta Ana0–1
Santa Ana0–1LPitbulls Santa Barbara FC0–1
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC0–1DAserri FC1–1
Aserri FC1–1WFutbol Consultants Moravia1–0
Futbol Consultants Moravia1–0WCS Uruguay1–0
CS Uruguay1–0Head to Head · 11 matches
2
AD Carmelita
18%
6
Draws
55%
3
Cariari Pococi
27%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
27%
Over 2.5
3/11
0%
Over 3.5
0/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
13/09/26AD Carmelita
Cariari Pococi
1–1AD Carmelita12/03/26AD Carmelita
Cariari Pococi
2–1AD Carmelita23/01/26Cariari Pococi
AD Carmelita
1–1Cariari Pococi11/10/25Cariari Pococi
AD Carmelita
1–1Cariari Pococi01/10/25AD Carmelita
Cariari Pococi
0–2AD Carmelita24/09/25Cariari Pococi
AD Carmelita
1–1Cariari Pococi31/08/25AD Carmelita
Cariari Pococi
1–1AD Carmelita07/03/21AD Carmelita
Cariari Pococi
2–1AD Carmelita23/01/21Cariari Pococi
AD Carmelita
2–1Cariari Pococi18/10/20Cariari Pococi
AD Carmelita
0–1Cariari Pococi12/09/20AD Carmelita
Cariari Pococi
0–0AD Carmelita| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aserri FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 33 |
| 2 | Santa Ana | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  ADR Jicaral | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Quepos Cambute | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | AD Carmelita | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Cariari Pococi | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 |  Municipal Grecia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Guadalupe FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  AD Sarchí | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Futbol Consultants Moravia | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | CS Uruguay | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 13 |  AD Cofutpa | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  Santa Cruz FC | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
AD Carmelita- ●AD Carmelita have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●AD Carmelita failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AD Carmelita have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of AD Carmelita's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Cariari Pococi- ●Cariari Pococi have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cariari Pococi have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cariari Pococi failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cariari Pococi have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●75% of Cariari Pococi's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Cariari Pococi's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
AD CarmelitaDAAserri FC1–1
Aserri FC1–1LHGuadalupe FC0–2
Guadalupe FC0–2WAFutbol Consultants Moravia3–0
Futbol Consultants Moravia3–0WHSanta Ana1–0
Santa Ana1–0WHCS Uruguay6–0
CS Uruguay6–0DACariari Pococi1–1
Cariari Pococi1–1–APitbulls Santa Barbara FC27/10
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC27/10–HCariari Pococi01/11
Cariari Pococi01/11Cariari PocociLAGuadalupe FC0–1
Guadalupe FC0–1WHFutbol Consultants Moravia1–0
Futbol Consultants Moravia1–0LASanta Ana0–1
Santa Ana0–1LHSanta Ana1–2
Santa Ana1–2DHCS Uruguay1–1
CS Uruguay1–1WHPitbulls Santa Barbara FC2–1
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC2–1–HAserri FC25/10
Aserri FC25/10–AAD Carmelita01/11
AD Carmelita01/11Top Scorers
AD Carmelita6 ⚽
S. Gonzalez2 ⚽
S. Rosales2 ⚽
W. Villalobos2 ⚽
F. Rodriguez2 ⚽
Y. Mena1 ⚽
Cariari PocociD. Paniagua5 ⚽
D. Matthews1 ⚽
D. Torres1 ⚽
F. Morera1 ⚽
K. Jimenez1 ⚽
U. Morera1 ⚽
Cards Given
AD CarmelitaCariari PocociA. Reyes1 🟨