Mantova vs Cremonese — Serie B
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Stadio Danilo Martelli·Mantova·Italy·14,854
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Mantova and Cremonese meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Mantova have recorded 7 wins from 11 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Cremonese have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for Mantova and 1.09 for Cremonese. The models give Mantova a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Cremonese win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Mantova—
Cremonese2º
Position
15º
2.50
PPG
1.00
75%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.75
Conceded / game
1.40
64%
BTTS %
30%
27%
Clean sheet %
50%
64%
Over 2.5 %
40%
3.3
Avg corners
4.3
11.8
Avg shots
10.9
6.2
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.4
13.2
Avg fouls
9.7
44.8%
Avg possession
55.3%
Home vs Away
Mantova
Home (2)
—
Cremonese
Away (2)
3.00
PPG
0.50
100%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
3.3
Avg corners
4.3
11.8
Avg shots
10.9
6.2
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.4
44.8%
Avg possession
55.3%
Goals Scored
| Mantova | Home | Away | Cremonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 83% | 100% | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 82% | 83% | 80% | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 17% | 0% | 40% | 43% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Mantova | Home | Away | Cremonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 80% | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 57% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mantova | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS | 64% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mantova | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 18% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Mantova (H)D
Pisa2–2
Pisa2–2W
Sampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0W
Empoli3–1
Empoli3–1L
Athletic Carpi0–1
Athletic Carpi0–1W
Alcione6–2
Alcione6–2W
Ambrosiana7–0
Ambrosiana7–0Cremonese (A)D
Cesena2–2
Cesena2–2W
Parma2–0
Parma2–0LEmpoli0–1
Empoli0–1W
Udinese1–0
Udinese1–0L
Napoli0–4
Napoli0–4L
Cagliari0–1
Cagliari0–1Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.6
46 games
8.6
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Mantova | Cremonese | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 57% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 57% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 43% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 29% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 14% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 14% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Mantova | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 17% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 43% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Mantova
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Cremonese
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
25/04/25Mantova
Cremonese
4–2Mantova09/11/24Cremonese
Mantova
1–0Cremonese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Mantova | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Empoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Vicenza Virtus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Hellas Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 |  Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 20 |  Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mantova- ●Mantova have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Mantova have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Mantova have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●70% of Mantova's goals have been scored at home.
Cremonese- ●Cremonese have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
MantovaDHPisa2–2
Pisa2–2WHSampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0DACesena1–1
Cesena1–1WHEmpoli3–1
Empoli3–1WACarrarese2–1
Carrarese2–1–ACatanzaro10/10
Catanzaro10/10–HPalermo17/10
Palermo17/10–AVirtus Entella24/10
Virtus Entella24/10CremoneseDHVirtus Entella0–0
Virtus Entella0–0DACesena2–2
Cesena2–2WHPadova3–1
Padova3–1LHModena0–3
Modena0–3LAEmpoli0–1
Empoli0–1–AArezzo10/10
Arezzo10/10–APisa17/10
Pisa17/10–HJuve Stabia24/10
Juve Stabia24/10Top Scorers
MantovaF. Ruocco8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Francesco Ruocco3 ⚽
F. Chinetti2 ⚽
F. Vesentini1 ⚽
F. Benaissa-Yahia1 ⚽
CremoneseFederico Bonazzoli3 ⚽
D. Stuckler2 ⚽
Adin Ličina2 ⚽
M. De Luca1 ⚽
Michele Collocolo1 ⚽
S. Lottici Tessadri1 ⚽
Cards Given
MantovaFrancesco Modesto3 🟨
B. Tomasevic2 🟨
Fahem Benaissa Yahia1 🟨
F. Modesto1 🟨
F. Bardi1 🟨
Alessio Castellini1 🟨
CremoneseJ. Vandeputte2 🟨
F. Gerli2 🟨
Fabio Pecchia1 🟨
Federico Baschirotto1 🟨
Federico Bonazzoli1 🟨
G. Pezzella1 🟨