Modena vs Mantova — Serie B
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Stadio Alberto Braglia·Modena·Italy·21,151
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Modena and Mantova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Modena have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Mantova have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 2.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Modena and 1.39 for Mantova. The models give Modena a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mantova win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Modena—
Mantova6º
Position
2º
1.75
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
75%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
0.75
Conceded / game
0.75
40%
BTTS %
64%
40%
Clean sheet %
27%
50%
Over 2.5 %
64%
6.3
Avg corners
3.3
19.0
Avg shots
11.8
5.5
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
13.0
Avg fouls
13.2
58.3%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Modena
Home (1)
—
Mantova
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
50%
0.00
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
80%
50%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
6.3
Avg corners
3.3
19.0
Avg shots
11.8
5.5
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
58.3%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Modena | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 50% | 83% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 50% | 17% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Modena | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS | 40% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Modena (H)W
Empoli2–1
Empoli2–1L
Avellino0–1
Avellino0–1D
Vis Pesaro0–0
Vis Pesaro0–0W
Virtus Bolzano5–0
Virtus Bolzano5–0L
Juve Stabia0–1
Juve Stabia0–1W
Reggiana2–1
Reggiana2–1Mantova (A)D
Cesena1–1
Cesena1–1L
Palermo2–5
Palermo2–5W
Carrarese2–1
Carrarese2–1W
Lazio2–0
Lazio2–0W
Legnago Salus3–1
Legnago Salus3–1L
Frosinone0–5
Frosinone0–5Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.6
46 games
8.8
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Modena | Mantova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 67% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 17% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 17% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Modena | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Modena
50%
3
Draws
38%
1
Mantova
13%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
21/03/26Mantova
Modena
2–1Mantova20/09/25Modena
Mantova
1–3Modena01/02/25Mantova
Modena
3–1Mantova30/11/24Modena
Mantova
0–0Modena14/03/21Mantova
Modena
1–1Mantova16/11/20Modena
Mantova
0–0Modena30/04/17Mantova
Modena
2–0Mantova11/12/16Modena
Mantova
1–0Modena| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Mantova | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Modena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Empoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Vicenza Virtus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Hellas Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Team Insights
Modena- ●Modena have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Modena's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Modena's points have been earned away.
Mantova- ●Mantova have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Mantova have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Mantova have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●70% of Mantova's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
ModenaWHEmpoli2–1
Empoli2–1DASudtirol1–1
Sudtirol1–1LHAvellino0–1
Avellino0–1WACremonese3–0
Cremonese3–0WABenevento2–1
Benevento2–1–HHellas Verona10/10
Hellas Verona10/10–ACarrarese17/10
Carrarese17/10–HCesena24/10
Cesena24/10MantovaDHPisa2–2
Pisa2–2WHSampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0DACesena1–1
Cesena1–1WHEmpoli3–1
Empoli3–1WACarrarese2–1
Carrarese2–1–ACatanzaro10/10
Catanzaro10/10–HPalermo17/10
Palermo17/10–AVirtus Entella24/10
Virtus Entella24/10Top Scorers
ModenaG. Caso4 ⚽
Giuseppe Ambrosino2 ⚽
G. Ambrosino2 ⚽
G. Olzer2 ⚽
P. Mendes1 ⚽
A. Bianco1 ⚽
MantovaF. Ruocco8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Francesco Ruocco3 ⚽
F. Chinetti2 ⚽
F. Vesentini1 ⚽
F. Benaissa-Yahia1 ⚽
Cards Given
ModenaG. Olzer2 🟨
Alessandro Bianco1 🟨
D. Tonoli1 🟨
Daniel Tonoli1 🟨
Francesco Zampano1 🟨
Giacomo Olzer1 🟨
MantovaFrancesco Modesto3 🟨
B. Tomasevic2 🟨
Fahem Benaissa Yahia1 🟨
F. Modesto1 🟨
F. Bardi1 🟨
Alessio Castellini1 🟨