Ascoli vs Palermo — Serie B
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Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca·Ascoli Piceno·Italy·20,853
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Ascoli and Palermo meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Ascoli have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Palermo have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 2.36 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Ascoli and 1.67 for Palermo. The models give Ascoli a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Palermo win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Ascoli—
Palermo5º
Position
1º
1.83
PPG
2.67
50%
Win %
83%
1.17
Goals / game
2.33
0.67
Conceded / game
1.17
60%
BTTS %
57%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.9
Avg corners
4.0
13.6
Avg shots
17.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
6.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.4
Avg fouls
12.5
61.4%
Avg possession
50.3%
Home vs Away
Ascoli
Home (3)
—
Palermo
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
2.33
67%
Win %
67%
1.67
Goals / game
2.67
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
80%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
17%
60%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.9
Avg corners
4.0
13.6
Avg shots
17.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
6.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
61.4%
Avg possession
50.3%
Goals Scored
| Ascoli | Home | Away | Palermo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 100% | 40% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 64% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 60% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Ascoli | Home | Away | Palermo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 71% | 63% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 29% | 38% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ascoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 29% |
| BTTS | 60% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ascoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 70% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 21% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Ascoli (H)W
Avellino3–1
Avellino3–1W
Benevento1–0
Benevento1–0D
Carrarese1–1
Carrarese1–1W
Potenza3–1
Potenza3–1L
Lazio1–2
Lazio1–2W
Union Brescia3–0
Union Brescia3–0Palermo (A)W
Empoli4–2
Empoli4–2DAvellino1–1
Avellino1–1W
Arezzo3–2
Arezzo3–2L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2W
Melbourne City2–0
Melbourne City2–0L
FC Ingolstadt 040–1
FC Ingolstadt 040–1Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.4
60 games
9.8
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Ascoli | Palermo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 71% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 38% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 13% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ascoli | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 63% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Ascoli
13%
2
Draws
25%
5
Palermo
63%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
75%
Over 2.5
6/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
05/05/24Ascoli
Palermo
2–2Ascoli16/09/23Palermo
Ascoli
0–1Palermo29/01/23Palermo
Ascoli
1–2Palermo27/08/22Ascoli
Palermo
2–3Ascoli04/05/19Palermo
Ascoli
1–2Palermo27/12/18Ascoli
Palermo
3–0Ascoli27/02/18Ascoli
Palermo
4–1Ascoli30/09/17Palermo
Ascoli
0–0Palermo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Team Insights
Ascoli- ●Ascoli have won their last 2 home matches.
Palermo- ●Palermo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Palermo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Palermo have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Palermo have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Palermo have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
AscoliDASudtirol0–0
Sudtirol0–0WHAvellino3–1
Avellino3–1LAPadova0–1
Padova0–1WHBenevento1–0
Benevento1–0DHCarrarese1–1
Carrarese1–1WAHellas Verona2–1
Hellas Verona2–1–HEmpoli17/10
Empoli17/10–ACatanzaro24/10
Catanzaro24/10–HSampdoria27/10
Sampdoria27/10PalermoWAEmpoli4–2
Empoli4–2WHPadova2–1
Padova2–1DAAvellino1–1
Avellino1–1WHSampdoria3–1
Sampdoria3–1WAArezzo3–2
Arezzo3–2WHJuve Stabia1–0
Juve Stabia1–0–AMantova17/10
Mantova17/10–HCarrarese25/10
Carrarese25/10–APisa28/10
Pisa28/10Top Scorers
AscoliG. Gori2 ⚽
Andrea·Silipo2 ⚽
A. Silipo2 ⚽
Matteo Brunori1 ⚽
S. D'Uffizi1 ⚽
T. Milanese1 ⚽
PalermoJoel Pohjanpalo4 ⚽
D. Johnsen3 ⚽
Antonio Palumbo3 ⚽
Dennis Johnsen3 ⚽
Dominic Vavassori2 ⚽
E. Gyasi2 ⚽
Cards Given
AscoliNicholas Rizzo4 🟨
G. Corradini2 🟨
A. Guiebre2 🟨
S. D'Uffizi2 🟨
2 🟨
M. Curado1 🟨
PalermoFilippo·Ranocchia2 🟨
Mattia Bani2 🟨
Antonio Palumbo1 🟨
E. Gyasi1 🟨
G. Strefezza1 🟨
J. Segre1 🟨