Catanzaro vs Palermo — Serie B
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Stadio Nicola Ceravolo·Catanzaro·Italy·14,650
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Catanzaro and Palermo meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Catanzaro have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Palermo have won 67% of their 15 matches, with 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Catanzaro and 1.81 for Palermo. The models give Catanzaro a 28% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Palermo win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Catanzaro—
Palermo20º
Position
1º
0.57
PPG
2.71
14%
Win %
86%
1.14
Goals / game
2.29
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
70%
BTTS %
53%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
80%
Over 2.5 %
47%
3.9
Avg corners
3.9
12.9
Avg shots
16.8
3.8
Avg shots on target
6.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.0
Avg fouls
12.4
54.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Catanzaro
Home (2)
—
Palermo
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
2.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.25
60%
BTTS %
43%
40%
Clean sheet %
29%
80%
Over 2.5 %
29%
3.9
Avg corners
3.9
12.9
Avg shots
16.8
3.8
Avg shots on target
6.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
54.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Catanzaro | Home | Away | Palermo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 80% | 87% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 67% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Catanzaro | Home | Away | Palermo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 60% | 100% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 40% | 100% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Catanzaro | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 27% |
| BTTS | 70% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Catanzaro | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Catanzaro (H)L
Mantova1–3
Mantova1–3W
Carrarese1–0
Carrarese1–0D
Sudtirol2–2
Sudtirol2–2W
Giugliano3–0
Giugliano3–0W
Paradiso3–1
Paradiso3–1L
Monza0–2
Monza0–2Palermo (A)WMantova2–0
Mantova2–0W
Empoli4–2
Empoli4–2D
Avellino1–1
Avellino1–1W
Arezzo3–2
Arezzo3–2L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2W
Melbourne City2–0
Melbourne City2–0Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.5
70 games
9.3
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Catanzaro | Palermo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 44% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 44% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 22% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 11% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Catanzaro | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 56% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
6
Catanzaro
46%
4
Draws
31%
3
Palermo
23%
69%
Over 1.5
9/13
46%
Over 2.5
6/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
20/05/26Catanzaro
Palermo
2–0Catanzaro17/05/26Palermo
Catanzaro
3–0Palermo01/05/26Catanzaro
Palermo
3–2Catanzaro25/10/25Palermo
Catanzaro
1–0Palermo27/04/25Palermo
Catanzaro
1–3Palermo15/12/24Catanzaro
Palermo
1–2Catanzaro26/01/24Palermo
Catanzaro
1–1Palermo01/12/23Catanzaro
Palermo
1–2Catanzaro24/01/22Palermo
Catanzaro
0–0Palermo03/11/21Palermo
Catanzaro
1–0Palermo19/09/21Catanzaro
Palermo
0–0Catanzaro21/02/21Catanzaro
Palermo
1–2Catanzaro04/11/20Palermo
Catanzaro
1–1Palermo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Modena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Sudtirol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Arezzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Virtus Entella | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Padova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cremonese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Team Insights
Catanzaro- ●Catanzaro have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Catanzaro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Catanzaro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Catanzaro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Catanzaro failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Catanzaro have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Catanzaro's goals have been scored away.
- ●79% of Catanzaro's goals conceded were conceded away.
Palermo- ●Palermo have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Palermo have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Palermo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palermo have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Palermo have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Palermo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Palermo's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
CatanzaroDAHellas Verona2–2
Hellas Verona2–2LHMantova1–3
Mantova1–3LASampdoria1–2
Sampdoria1–2WHCarrarese1–0
Carrarese1–0LASudtirol0–2
Sudtirol0–2LAPisa1–2
Pisa1–2–HAscoli24/10
Ascoli24/10–ABenevento27/10
Benevento27/10–HPadova31/10
Padova31/10PalermoWAMantova2–0
Mantova2–0WAEmpoli4–2
Empoli4–2WHPadova2–1
Padova2–1DAAvellino1–1
Avellino1–1WHSampdoria3–1
Sampdoria3–1WAArezzo3–2
Arezzo3–2–HCarrarese25/10
Carrarese25/10–APisa28/10
Pisa28/10–HVicenza Virtus01/11
Vicenza Virtus01/11Top Scorers
CatanzaroS. Pafundi2 ⚽
F. Pittarello2 ⚽
P. Iemmello2 ⚽
B. Verrengia1 ⚽
F. Reita1 ⚽
Emanuele Pecorino1 ⚽
PalermoJoel Pohjanpalo4 ⚽
D. Johnsen3 ⚽
Antonio Palumbo3 ⚽
Dennis Johnsen3 ⚽
Dominic Vavassori2 ⚽
E. Gyasi2 ⚽
Cards Given
CatanzaroJ. Petriccione2 🟨
Matias Antonini2 🟨
G. Alesi1 🟨
Gabriele Alesi1 🟨
Jacopo Petriccione1 🟨
Franky Tchaouna1 🟨
PalermoMattia Bani3 🟨
Filippo·Ranocchia2 🟨
Antonio Palumbo1 🟨
E. Gyasi1 🟨
G. Strefezza1 🟨
J. Segre1 🟨