Catanzaro vs Avellino — Serie B
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Stadio Nicola Ceravolo·Catanzaro·Italy·14,650
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Catanzaro and Avellino meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Catanzaro have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Avellino have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Catanzaro and 1.53 for Avellino. The models give Catanzaro a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Avellino win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Catanzaro—
Avellino20º
Position
10º
0.56
PPG
1.33
11%
Win %
33%
1.11
Goals / game
1.44
2.33
Conceded / game
1.11
75%
BTTS %
64%
17%
Clean sheet %
21%
75%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.1
Avg corners
3.2
13.0
Avg shots
13.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.2
Avg fouls
10.6
52.9%
Avg possession
51.5%
Home vs Away
Catanzaro
Home (3)
—
Avellino
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.25
33%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
3.00
Conceded / game
1.25
67%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
83%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.1
Avg corners
3.2
13.0
Avg shots
13.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
52.9%
Avg possession
51.5%
Goals Scored
| Catanzaro | Home | Away | Avellino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 83% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Catanzaro | Home | Away | Avellino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 79% | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 83% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 17% | 21% | 0% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Catanzaro | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS | 75% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Catanzaro | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Catanzaro (H)L
Ascoli1–6
Ascoli1–6L
Mantova1–3
Mantova1–3W
Carrarese1–0
Carrarese1–0D
Sudtirol2–2
Sudtirol2–2W
Giugliano3–0
Giugliano3–0W
Paradiso3–1
Paradiso3–1Avellino (A)D
Virtus Entella1–1
Virtus Entella1–1D
Cesena1–1
Cesena1–1LAscoli1–3
Ascoli1–3W
Modena1–0
Modena1–0L
Monza0–3
Monza0–3L
Lazio3–6
Lazio3–6Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.5
90 games
8.2
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Catanzaro | Avellino | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 40% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 30% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 30% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 40% | 20% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 30% | 10% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Catanzaro | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 70% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 90% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 60% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
6
Catanzaro
55%
4
Draws
36%
1
Avellino
9%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
45%
Over 3.5
5/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
12/05/26Avellino
Catanzaro
3–0Avellino11/04/26Catanzaro
Avellino
1–1Catanzaro13/12/25Avellino
Catanzaro
1–0Avellino04/03/23Avellino
Catanzaro
4–1Avellino16/11/22Avellino
Catanzaro
3–3Avellino30/10/22Catanzaro
Avellino
2–2Catanzaro06/02/22Avellino
Catanzaro
2–0Avellino30/09/21Catanzaro
Avellino
0–0Catanzaro03/03/21Avellino
Catanzaro
0–1Avellino08/11/20Catanzaro
Avellino
1–3Catanzaro02/11/19Avellino
Catanzaro
3–1Avellino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Catanzaro- ●Catanzaro have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Catanzaro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Catanzaro have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Catanzaro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Catanzaro failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Catanzaro have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Catanzaro have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Catanzaro's goals have been scored away.
Avellino- ●Avellino have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Avellino failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Avellino have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Avellino failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Avellino's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Avellino have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CatanzaroDABenevento1–1
Benevento1–1LHAscoli1–6
Ascoli1–6DAHellas Verona2–2
Hellas Verona2–2LHMantova1–3
Mantova1–3LASampdoria1–2
Sampdoria1–2WHCarrarese1–0
Carrarese1–0–HPadova31/10
Padova31/10–ACesena07/11
Cesena07/11–HPalermo21/11
Palermo21/11AvellinoDAVirtus Entella1–1
Virtus Entella1–1LHPadova0–1
Padova0–1DACesena1–1
Cesena1–1WHSampdoria4–1
Sampdoria4–1LAAscoli1–3
Ascoli1–3DHPalermo1–1
Palermo1–1–HPisa01/11
Pisa01/11–ABenevento07/11
Benevento07/11–HMantova21/11
Mantova21/11Top Scorers
CatanzaroS. Pafundi2 ⚽
F. Pittarello2 ⚽
P. Iemmello2 ⚽
B. Verrengia1 ⚽
F. Reita1 ⚽
Emanuele Pecorino1 ⚽
AvellinoR. Russo2 ⚽
Raffaele Russo2 ⚽
M. Besaggio2 ⚽
Michele Besaggio2 ⚽
L. Di Maggio2 ⚽
T. Biasci2 ⚽
Cards Given
CatanzaroMatias Antonini2 🟨
Matias Antonini Lui2 🟨
Marco Imperiale2 🟨
Gabriele Alesi2 🟨
J. Petriccione2 🟨
Franky Tchaouna1 🟨
AvellinoMichael Venturi3 🟨
Michele Besaggio2 🟨
M. Besaggio2 🟨
Armando Izzo1 🟨
D. Sounas1 🟨
Brando Moruzzi1 🟨