MatchPulse

Modena vs Padova — Serie B

← Back
Italy · Serie B · Regular Season - 14
Modena
Modena
2º · 2.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 19h
vs
–
–
Padova
Padova
7º · 1.44 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 19h
Stadio Alberto Braglia·Modena·Italy·21,151
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Modena and Padova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Modena have recorded 8 wins from 14 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Padova have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Modena and 1.29 for Padova. The models give Modena a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Padova win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Modena
—
Padova
2º
Position
7º
2.11
PPG
1.44
67%
Win %
44%
1.89
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.11
50%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
36%
64%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.6
Avg corners
4.4
18.2
Avg shots
10.9
5.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.0
Avg fouls
13.1
59.7%
Avg possession
42.1%

Home vs Away

Modena
Home (4)
—
Padova
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
1.50
75%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.25
33%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
38%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.6
Avg corners
4.4
18.2
Avg shots
10.9
5.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
59.7%
Avg possession
42.1%

Goals Scored

ModenaHomeAwayPadovaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%67%88%86%83%88%
Over 1.5 Scored57%67%50%21%17%25%
Over 2.5 Scored29%50%13%7%0%13%
Failed To Score21%33%13%14%17%13%

Goals Conceded

ModenaHomeAwayPadovaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%50%75%64%67%63%
Over 1.5 Conceded21%17%25%50%50%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded7%0%13%29%17%38%
Clean Sheets36%50%25%36%33%38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ModenaPadova
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.571%71%
Over 2.564%43%
Over 3.521%29%
Over 4.521%14%
BTTS50%50%
BTTS & Win29%0%
BTTS & Draw7%14%
BTTS & Over 2.543%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.521%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ModenaPadova
Win 1st Half29%36%
Draw 1st Half29%29%
Loss 1st Half43%36%
Scored 1st Half43%57%
Conceded 1st Half57%43%
Win 2nd Half57%21%
Draw 2nd Half29%36%
Loss 2nd Half14%43%
Scored 2nd Half64%36%
Conceded 2nd Half21%57%
Over 0.5 HT79%79%
Over 1.5 HT43%36%

Recent Venue Form

Modena (H)
WCesena3–0
WHellas Verona3–2
WEmpoli2–1
LAvellino0–1
DVis Pesaro0–0
WVirtus Bolzano5–0
Padova (A)
WAvellino1–0
LPalermo1–2
LCremonese1–3
WPisa1–0
LUdinese0–1
DMonza3–3

Number of Corners

9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.5
90 games
10.2
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersModenaPadovaLeague Avg
Over 678%89%79%
Over 767%89%70%
Over 856%67%57%
Over 944%56%47%
Over 1022%22%33%
Over 1122%22%31%
Over 1222%22%22%
Over 1311%11%13%

Team Corners

Team CornersModenaPadova
Corners Earned / Match5.64.4
Corners Against / Match3.45.8
Over 2.5 Corners For89%67%
Over 3.5 Corners For56%56%
Over 4.5 Corners For44%44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against44%89%
Over 3.5 Corners Against44%78%
Over 4.5 Corners Against33%67%

Head to Head · 8 matches

3
Modena
38%
0
Draws
0%
5
Padova
63%
38%
Over 1.5
3/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
0%
Over 3.5
0/8
13%
BTTS
1/8
28/02/26
Modena
1–2
Padova
11/01/26
Padova
2–0
Modena
18/04/21
Modena
3–0
Padova
23/12/20
Padova
0–1
Modena
19/01/20
Padova
0–1
Modena
09/09/19
Modena
0–1
Padova
19/03/17
Modena
0–1
Padova
29/10/16
Padova
1–0
Modena
Serie B
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Palermo9720+1023
2Modena9612+819
3Ascoli9531+1018
4Mantova9522+417
5Benevento9432+615
6Pisa9432+515
7Padova9414-113
8Sudtirol9342+113
9Hellas Verona9333+312
10Avellino9333+312
11Cesena9252-311
12Virtus Entella9243+110
13Carrarese9315-110
14Arezzo9315-1010
15Cremonese9234-39
16Vicenza Virtus9234-59
17Juve Stabia933308
18Empoli9216-77
19Sampdoria9126-105
20Catanzaro9126-115

Team Insights

Modena
  • ●Modena have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Modena have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Modena have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Modena have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Modena failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Modena have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Modena have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Modena have conceded 89% of their goals in the first half.
Padova
  • ●Padova have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Padova have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Padova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Padova have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
ModenaModena
WAVicenza Virtus16º2–1
WHCesena11º3–0
LACarrarese13º1–2
WHHellas Verona9º3–2
WHEmpoli18º2–1
DASudtirol8º1–1
LHAvellino10º0–1
WACremonese15º3–0
WABenevento5º2–1
LAVenezia2–3
PadovaPadova
WHSudtirol8º2–0
WAAvellino10º1–0
LHVirtus Entella12º1–2
LHCarrarese13º0–2
LAPalermo1º1–2
WHAscoli3º1–0
LACremonese15º1–3
DHHellas Verona9º1–1
WAPisa6º1–0
LAUdinese0–1

Season Schedule

Modena
WAVicenza Virtus2–1
WHCesena3–0
LACarrarese1–2
WHHellas Verona3–2
WHEmpoli2–1
DASudtirol1–1
–HMantova31/10
–AVirtus Entella08/11
–HJuve Stabia21/11
Padova
WHSudtirol2–0
WAAvellino1–0
LHVirtus Entella1–2
LHCarrarese0–2
LAPalermo1–2
WHAscoli1–0
–ACatanzaro31/10
–HEmpoli07/11
–AArezzo21/11

Top Scorers

Modena
Andrea Belotti6 ⚽
G. Caso4 ⚽
Giuseppe Ambrosino3 ⚽
G. Ambrosino2 ⚽
G. Olzer2 ⚽
P. Mendes1 ⚽
Padova
G. Caprari2 ⚽
K. Lasagna2 ⚽
Emanuele Zuelli1 ⚽
Gabriele Artistico1 ⚽
L. Carissoni1 ⚽
M. Bortolussi1 ⚽

Cards Given

Modena
G. Olzer2 🟨
Alessandro Bianco2 🟨
Andrea Belotti1 🟨
Daniel Tonoli1 🟨
Francesco Folino1 🟨
D. Tonoli1 🟨
Padova
Pietro Fusi3 🟨
Matteo Cocchi2 🟨
G. Giunti2 🟨
Alessandro Dellavalle2 🟨
Giovanni·Giunti2 🟨
C. Pastina1 🟨