Sudtirol vs Mantova — Serie B
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Sudtirol and Mantova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Sudtirol have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Mantova have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 2.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Sudtirol and 1.36 for Mantova. The models give Sudtirol a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Mantova win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Sudtirol—
Mantova8º
Position
4º
1.44
PPG
1.89
33%
Win %
56%
1.11
Goals / game
1.56
1.00
Conceded / game
1.11
43%
BTTS %
53%
36%
Clean sheet %
27%
29%
Over 2.5 %
53%
3.2
Avg corners
3.6
10.7
Avg shots
13.1
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.8
Avg fouls
13.8
48.5%
Avg possession
50.6%
Home vs Away
Sudtirol
Home (5)
—
Mantova
Away (4)
1.80
PPG
2.50
40%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
1.75
0.40
Conceded / game
0.75
38%
BTTS %
71%
63%
Clean sheet %
29%
13%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.2
Avg corners
3.6
10.7
Avg shots
13.1
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.0
48.5%
Avg possession
50.6%
Goals Scored
| Sudtirol | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 75% | 50% | 80% | 63% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 38% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sudtirol | Home | Away | Mantova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 38% | 100% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 13% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 13% | 17% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 63% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sudtirol | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 43% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sudtirol | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 7% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Sudtirol (H)D
Sampdoria1–1
Sampdoria1–1D
Ascoli0–0
Ascoli0–0L
Wacker Innsbruck2–3
Wacker Innsbruck2–3D
Modena1–1
Modena1–1W
Catanzaro2–0
Catanzaro2–0W
Virtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0Mantova (A)WVirtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0WCatanzaro3–1
Catanzaro3–1D
Cesena1–1
Cesena1–1L
Palermo2–5
Palermo2–5W
Carrarese2–1
Carrarese2–1W
Lazio2–0
Lazio2–0Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
90 games
8.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Sudtirol | Mantova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 64% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 55% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 55% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 45% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 18% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 9% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 9% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 9% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sudtirol | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 36% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 73% | 64% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
4
Sudtirol
36%
4
Draws
36%
3
Mantova
27%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
25/04/26Mantova
Sudtirol
0–3Mantova18/10/25Sudtirol
Mantova
1–1Sudtirol29/03/25Sudtirol
Mantova
2–0Sudtirol14/12/24Mantova
Sudtirol
2–2Mantova06/08/22Mantova
Sudtirol
2–2Mantova06/03/22Mantova
Sudtirol
1–0Mantova24/10/21Sudtirol
Mantova
0–1Sudtirol08/03/21Sudtirol
Mantova
1–1Sudtirol11/11/20Mantova
Sudtirol
2–1Mantova07/05/17Sudtirol
Mantova
3–1Sudtirol18/12/16Mantova
Sudtirol
1–0Mantova| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Sudtirol- ●Sudtirol have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sudtirol have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sudtirol have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sudtirol have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●78% of Sudtirol's goals conceded were conceded away.
Mantova- ●Mantova have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Mantova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mantova failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Mantova's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
SudtirolLAPadova0–2
Padova0–2DHSampdoria1–1
Sampdoria1–1LAJuve Stabia0–3
Juve Stabia0–3DHAscoli0–0
Ascoli0–0WAArezzo4–1
Arezzo4–1DHModena1–1
Modena1–1–HCesena31/10
Cesena31/10–APisa07/11
Pisa07/11–HCremonese21/11
Cremonese21/11MantovaLHCremonese0–2
Cremonese0–2WAVirtus Entella1–0
Virtus Entella1–0LHPalermo0–2
Palermo0–2WACatanzaro3–1
Catanzaro3–1DHPisa2–2
Pisa2–2WHSampdoria2–0
Sampdoria2–0–AModena31/10
Modena31/10–HHellas Verona07/11
Hellas Verona07/11–AAvellino21/11
Avellino21/11Top Scorers
SudtirolKenny Meddy Mixtur2 ⚽
K. Mixtur2 ⚽
S. Davi2 ⚽
D. Casiraghi1 ⚽
Fabio Rispoli1 ⚽
Andrea Giorgini1 ⚽
MantovaF. Ruocco8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Francesco Ruocco4 ⚽
F. Chinetti2 ⚽
Ettore Gliozzi2 ⚽
Davide Bragantini1 ⚽
Cards Given
SudtirolVasco Rafael Fortes Lopes3 🟨
Giacomo Stabile3 🟨
Salvatore Molina2 🟨
Fabio Rispoli2 🟨
S. Merkaj2 🟨
G. Stabile1 🟨
MantovaStefano Cella4 🟨
Francesco Modesto4 🟨
Simone Trimboli2 🟨
Fahem Benaissa Yahia2 🟨
B. Tomasevic2 🟨
Alessio Castellini2 🟨