Modena vs Arezzo — Serie B
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Stadio Alberto Braglia·Modena·Italy·21,151
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Modena and Arezzo meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Modena have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Arezzo have won 28% of their 18 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Modena and 1.19 for Arezzo. The models give Modena a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Arezzo win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Modena—
Arezzo2º
Position
13º
2.00
PPG
1.10
60%
Win %
30%
1.80
Goals / game
0.90
1.00
Conceded / game
1.90
53%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
22%
60%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
17.4
Avg shots
11.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.7
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.3
Avg fouls
12.1
59.0%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Modena
Home (5)
—
Arezzo
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.80
60%
Win %
60%
1.80
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.80
43%
BTTS %
60%
43%
Clean sheet %
10%
57%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
17.4
Avg shots
11.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.7
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
59.0%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Modena | Home | Away | Arezzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 71% | 88% | 67% | 63% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 57% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 43% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 29% | 13% | 33% | 38% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Modena | Home | Away | Arezzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 57% | 75% | 78% | 63% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 14% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 43% | 25% | 22% | 38% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Modena | Arezzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS | 53% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Modena | Arezzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Modena (H)D
Mantova1–1
Mantova1–1W
Cesena3–0
Cesena3–0W
Hellas Verona3–2
Hellas Verona3–2W
Empoli2–1
Empoli2–1L
Avellino0–1
Avellino0–1D
Vis Pesaro0–0
Vis Pesaro0–0Arezzo (A)L
Carrarese1–2
Carrarese1–2W
Sampdoria2–1
Sampdoria2–1L
Lazio0–2
Lazio0–2WEmpoli1–0
Empoli1–0LHellas Verona0–5
Hellas Verona0–5WAvellino2–1
Avellino2–1Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.5
100 games
7.9
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Modena | Arezzo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 55% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 36% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 36% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 36% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 27% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 18% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 9% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Modena | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 27% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Modena
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Arezzo
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
03/04/21Arezzo
Modena
3–1Arezzo13/12/20Modena
Arezzo
0–1Modena| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Modena- ●Modena have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Modena have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Modena have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Modena failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Modena failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Modena have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Modena have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Modena have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Arezzo- ●Arezzo have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Arezzo have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arezzo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Arezzo have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Arezzo's goals have been scored away.
- ●82% of Arezzo's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
ModenaDHMantova1–1
Mantova1–1WAVicenza Virtus2–1
Vicenza Virtus2–1WHCesena3–0
Cesena3–0LACarrarese1–2
Carrarese1–2WHHellas Verona3–2
Hellas Verona3–2WHEmpoli2–1
Empoli2–1–AVirtus Entella08/11
Virtus Entella08/11–HJuve Stabia21/11
Juve Stabia21/11–APisa24/11
Pisa24/11ArezzoDHAscoli0–0
Ascoli0–0LACarrarese1–2
Carrarese1–2LHBenevento0–3
Benevento0–3WASampdoria2–1
Sampdoria2–1DHCremonese0–0
Cremonese0–0LHSudtirol1–4
Sudtirol1–4–AJuve Stabia07/11
Juve Stabia07/11–HPadova21/11
Padova21/11–AMantova24/11
Mantova24/11Top Scorers
ModenaAndrea Belotti7 ⚽
G. Caso4 ⚽
Giuseppe Ambrosino3 ⚽
G. Ambrosino2 ⚽
G. Olzer2 ⚽
P. Mendes1 ⚽
ArezzoP. Cianci3 ⚽
C. Tavernelli2 ⚽
A. Arena2 ⚽
A. Ionita1 ⚽
Emiliano Pattarello1 ⚽
Alessandro Arena1 ⚽
Cards Given
ModenaAlessandro Bianco3 🟨
G. Olzer2 🟨
Andrea Belotti1 🟨
D. Tonoli1 🟨
Daniel Tonoli1 🟨
Antonio Imputato1 🟨
ArezzoShaka Mawuli Eklu3 🟨
Julian Illanes2 🟨
G. Iaccarino2 🟨
Alessandro Arena1 🟨
C. Bucchi1 🟨
Artur Ioniță1 🟨