Sabah FA vs Qarabag — Premyer Liqa
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Sabah FA and Qarabag meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sabah FA have recorded 13 wins from 21 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 52% of games. Qarabag have won 62% of their 21 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 52%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Sabah FA and 1.15 for Qarabag. The models give Sabah FA a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Qarabag win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Sabah FA—
Qarabag1º
Position
3º
2.71
PPG
2.43
86%
Win %
71%
2.57
Goals / game
2.00
0.14
Conceded / game
1.00
43%
BTTS %
38%
52%
Clean sheet %
52%
57%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.6
Avg corners
6.4
16.8
Avg shots
10.4
5.9
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.3
Avg fouls
9.3
47.4%
Avg possession
58.0%
Home vs Away
Sabah FA
Home (3)
—
Qarabag
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
2.33
100%
Win %
67%
3.33
Goals / game
1.33
0.33
Conceded / game
0.33
33%
BTTS %
27%
67%
Clean sheet %
55%
56%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.6
Avg corners
6.4
16.8
Avg shots
10.4
5.9
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.6
47.4%
Avg possession
58.0%
Goals Scored
| Sabah FA | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 83% | 81% | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 78% | 33% | 57% | 70% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 44% | 17% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 17% | 19% | 10% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Sabah FA | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 48% | 33% | 58% | 48% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 22% | 33% | 19% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 30% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 52% | 67% | 42% | 52% | 50% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sabah FA | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 24% |
| BTTS | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sabah FA | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 24% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Sabah FA (H)L
Borussia Dortmund1–2
Borussia Dortmund1–2W
Slavia Praha2–0
Slavia Praha2–0W
Imisli FK3–1
Imisli FK3–1W
Zira5–0
Zira5–0W
Hapoel Beer Sheva5–2
Hapoel Beer Sheva5–2W
Kapaz2–0
Kapaz2–0Qarabag (A)WImisli FK2–0
Imisli FK2–0DZira1–1
Zira1–1W
Sumqayıt1–0
Sumqayıt1–0W
Twente1–0
Twente1–0L
Dynamo Kyiv0–1
Dynamo Kyiv0–1D
CSKA Sofia0–0
CSKA Sofia0–0Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
9.3
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Sabah FA | Qarabag | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 86% | — |
| Over 7 | 75% | 86% | — |
| Over 8 | 75% | 71% | — |
| Over 9 | 50% | 43% | — |
| Over 10 | 50% | 29% | — |
| Over 11 | 25% | 29% | — |
| Over 12 | 25% | 29% | — |
| Over 13 | 13% | 29% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sabah FA | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 29% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
7
Sabah FA
20%
12
Draws
34%
16
Qarabag
46%
86%
Over 1.5
30/35
51%
Over 2.5
18/35
31%
Over 3.5
11/35
66%
BTTS
23/35
22/04/26Qarabag
Sabah FA
2–1Qarabag18/04/26Sabah FA
Qarabag
0–1Sabah FA03/04/26Sabah FA
Qarabag
2–2Sabah FA01/03/26Sabah FA
Qarabag
3–3Sabah FA18/12/25Qarabag
Sabah FA
2–1Qarabag31/05/25Sabah FA
Qarabag
2–3Sabah FA27/04/25Qarabag
Sabah FA
1–1Qarabag22/02/25Sabah FA
Qarabag
1–1Sabah FA07/12/24Qarabag
Sabah FA
1–1Qarabag29/09/24Sabah FA
Qarabag
3–2Sabah FA14/04/24Qarabag
Sabah FA
3–2Qarabag11/02/24Sabah FA
Qarabag
3–3Sabah FA08/02/24Sabah FA
Qarabag
3–4Sabah FA30/01/24Qarabag
Sabah FA
1–7Qarabag24/11/23Qarabag
Sabah FA
1–2Qarabag17/09/23Sabah FA
Qarabag
2–0Sabah FA16/04/23Qarabag
Sabah FA
2–1Qarabag11/02/23Sabah FA
Qarabag
1–1Sabah FA13/11/22Qarabag
Sabah FA
0–0Qarabag11/09/22Sabah FA
Qarabag
4–3Sabah FATeam Insights
Sabah FA- ●Sabah FA have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Sabah FA have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Sabah FA have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sabah FA have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sabah FA have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
Qarabag- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of Qarabag's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Sabah FAWA
Qabala4–0
Qabala4–0DA
Neftchi Baku0–0
Neftchi Baku0–0WHImisli FK3–1
Imisli FK3–1WA
Safa Baku3–0
Safa Baku3–0WHZira5–0
Zira5–0WA
Araz1–0
Araz1–0–HQarabag25/10
Qarabag25/10–A
Turan30/10
Turan30/10–H
Şamaxı FK08/11
Şamaxı FK08/11QarabagDHNeftchi Baku3–3
Neftchi Baku3–3WAImisli FK2–0
Imisli FK2–0WHSafa Baku1–0
Safa Baku1–0DAZira1–1
Zira1–1WHAraz3–2
Araz3–2WASumqayıt1–0
Sumqayıt1–0–ASabah FA25/10
Sabah FA25/10–AQabala31/10
Qabala31/10–HTuran06/11
Turan06/11Top Scorers
Sabah FAJ. Mickels9 ⚽
V. Simic9 ⚽
O. Mbina4 ⚽
A. Isayev2 ⚽
A. Khaybulaev2 ⚽
C. Nwachukwu2 ⚽
QarabagO. Kashchuk6 ⚽
J. Mouaddib6 ⚽
R. Cephas5 ⚽
Kady Borges4 ⚽
J. Montiel4 ⚽
M. Jankovic4 ⚽
Cards Given
Sabah FASteve Solvet5 🟨
Akim Zedadka3 🟨
Ivan Lepinjica3 🟨
T. Puchacz2 🟨
V. Simic2 🟨
I. Lepinjica1 🟨
QarabagM. Jankovic4 🟨
Matheus Silva3 🟨
B. Varkonyi3 🟨
C. Makreckis2 🟨
B. Langa2 🟨
S. Lobato2 🟨