Safa Baku vs Kapaz — Premyer Liqa
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Safa Baku and Kapaz meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Safa Baku have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Kapaz have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Safa Baku and 1.15 for Kapaz. The models give Safa Baku a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Kapaz win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Safa BakuKapazHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Kapaz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 38% | 0% | 60% | 78% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 63% | 100% | 40% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Kapaz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 80% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 60% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 20% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Safa Baku | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS | 25% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Safa Baku | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 75% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Safa Baku (H)
Turan0–1
Sabah FA0–3
Imisli FK0–1
Cəbrayıl1–0
Şimal0–0
MOIK3–0Kapaz (A)
Araz2–0Sabah FA0–2Araz0–2Sabah FA1–0
Şamaxı FK0–2
Karvan1–4Team Insights
Safa Baku- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Safa Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
Kapaz- ●Kapaz have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kapaz have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Kapaz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Safa BakuŞamaxı FK2–3Turan0–1
Qarabag0–1Sabah FA0–3
Neftchi Baku1–4Imisli FK0–1Kapaz24/10
Sumqayıt02/11Araz07/11Kapaz
Zira1–1Araz2–0Sumqayıt1–1
Qabala1–0Şamaxı FK1–4Turan1–0Safa Baku24/10Imisli FK01/11Neftchi Baku06/11Top Scorers
Safa BakuKapazCards Given
Safa BakuKapaz