Qabala vs Qarabag — Premyer Liqa
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Qabala and Qarabag meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Qabala have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Qarabag have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 55%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.91 for Qabala and 1.32 for Qarabag. The models give Qabala a 20% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Qarabag win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Qabala—
Qarabag10º
Position
3º
0.78
PPG
2.25
22%
Win %
63%
0.56
Goals / game
1.75
1.78
Conceded / game
0.88
36%
BTTS %
36%
18%
Clean sheet %
55%
64%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0
Avg fouls
9.3
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%
Home vs Away
Qabala
Home (5)
—
Qarabag
Away (4)
0.80
PPG
2.00
20%
Win %
50%
0.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.80
Conceded / game
0.25
29%
BTTS %
25%
29%
Clean sheet %
58%
71%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%
Goals Scored
| Qabala | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 45% | 43% | 50% | 77% | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 25% | 55% | 70% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 29% | 0% | 41% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 55% | 57% | 50% | 23% | 10% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Qabala | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 71% | 100% | 45% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 30% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 29% | 0% | 55% | 50% | 58% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Qabala | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 23% |
| BTTS | 36% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Qabala | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 23% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Qabala (H)W
Mingəçevir3–0
Mingəçevir3–0L
Sabah FA0–4
Sabah FA0–4L
Neftchi Baku0–3
Neftchi Baku0–3W
Imisli FK2–1
Imisli FK2–1D
Şamaxı FK0–0
Şamaxı FK0–0L
Safa Baku0–1
Safa Baku0–1Qarabag (A)DSabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0WImisli FK2–0
Imisli FK2–0D
Zira1–1
Zira1–1W
Sumqayıt1–0
Sumqayıt1–0W
Twente1–0
Twente1–0L
Dynamo Kyiv0–1
Dynamo Kyiv0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Qabala | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 29% |
Head to Head · 65 matches
11
Qabala
17%
15
Draws
23%
39
Qarabag
60%
74%
Over 1.5
48/65
48%
Over 2.5
31/65
20%
Over 3.5
13/65
43%
BTTS
28/65
09/05/26Qarabag
Qabala
1–1Qarabag21/12/25Qarabag
Qabala
1–2Qarabag26/09/25Qabala
Qarabag
2–0Qabala04/12/24Qarabag
Qabala
0–2Qarabag20/04/24Qabala
Qarabag
2–2Qabala28/02/24Qarabag
Qabala
0–4Qarabag04/12/23Qabala
Qarabag
3–0Qabala25/09/23Qarabag
Qabala
1–2Qarabag08/05/23Qabala
Qarabag
3–0Qabala05/03/23Qarabag
Qabala
1–3Qarabag19/12/22Qarabag
Qabala
1–0Qarabag13/12/22Qabala
Qarabag
1–0Qabala08/12/22Qabala
Qarabag
2–2Qabala09/10/22Qarabag
Qabala
0–1Qarabag29/04/22Qabala
Qarabag
5–0Qabala24/04/22Qarabag
Qabala
0–2Qarabag20/04/22Qarabag
Qabala
1–3Qarabag06/03/22Qabala
Qarabag
5–1Qabala29/11/21Qarabag
Qabala
0–0Qarabag03/10/21Qabala
Qarabag
2–0QabalaTeam Insights
Qabala- ●Qabala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Qabala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Qarabag- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●71% of Qarabag's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
QabalaWA
Araz2–1
Araz2–1LHSabah FA0–4
Sabah FA0–4LASumqayıt1–4
Sumqayıt1–4LHNeftchi Baku0–3
Neftchi Baku0–3LA
Kapaz0–1
Kapaz0–1WHImisli FK2–1
Imisli FK2–1–HQarabag31/10
Qarabag31/10–AZira07/11
Zira07/11–ASafa Baku21/11
Safa Baku21/11QarabagDASabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0DHNeftchi Baku3–3
Neftchi Baku3–3WAImisli FK2–0
Imisli FK2–0WHSafa Baku1–0
Safa Baku1–0DAZira1–1
Zira1–1WHAraz3–2
Araz3–2–AQabala31/10
Qabala31/10–H
Turan06/11
Turan06/11–AKapaz22/11
Kapaz22/11Top Scorers
QabalaI. Akinade2 ⚽
D. J. Massoumou1 ⚽
E. Cekici1 ⚽
I. Amoah1 ⚽
K. Mabea1 ⚽
K. Rossi1 ⚽
QarabagO. Kashchuk6 ⚽
J. Mouaddib6 ⚽
R. Cephas5 ⚽
Kady Borges4 ⚽
J. Montiel4 ⚽
M. Jankovic4 ⚽
Cards Given
QabalaS. Shahniyarov2 🟨
J. Sierra2 🟨
K. Rossi2 🟨
I. Akinade1 🟨
I. Amoah1 🟨
N. Monzango1 🟨
QarabagM. Jankovic4 🟨
Matheus Silva3 🟨
B. Varkonyi3 🟨
C. Makreckis2 🟨
B. Langa2 🟨
S. Lobato2 🟨