Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku — Premyer Liqa
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Şamaxı FK and Neftchi Baku meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Şamaxı FK have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Neftchi Baku have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Şamaxı FK and 1.59 for Neftchi Baku. The models give Şamaxı FK a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Neftchi Baku win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Şamaxı FK—
Neftchi Baku7º
Position
2º
1.44
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
56%
1.44
Goals / game
2.44
1.22
Conceded / game
1.00
80%
BTTS %
47%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
60%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Şamaxı FK
Home (2)
—
Neftchi Baku
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
60%
2.50
Goals / game
2.40
1.50
Conceded / game
1.40
100%
BTTS %
38%
0%
Clean sheet %
38%
100%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Şamaxı FK | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 75% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 100% | 25% | 53% | 43% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 50% | 25% | 47% | 29% | 63% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Şamaxı FK | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 71% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 50% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Şamaxı FK | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS | 80% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Şamaxı FK | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Şamaxı FK (H)W
Safa Baku3–2
Safa Baku3–2W
Araz2–1
Araz2–1W
Turan3–2
Turan3–2L
Sabah FA0–3
Sabah FA0–3W
Kapaz2–0
Kapaz2–0D
Qarabag0–0
Qarabag0–0Neftchi Baku (A)DQarabag3–3
Qarabag3–3W
Qabala3–0
Qabala3–0W
Imisli FK3–2
Imisli FK3–2L
Zira0–1
Zira0–1W
Sumqayıt3–1
Sumqayıt3–1W
Dinamo Minsk1–0
Dinamo Minsk1–0Head to Head · 30 matches
3
Şamaxı FK
10%
6
Draws
20%
21
Neftchi Baku
70%
73%
Over 1.5
22/30
53%
Over 2.5
16/30
27%
Over 3.5
8/30
47%
BTTS
14/30
10/05/26Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
3–0Şamaxı FK28/02/26Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
2–2Neftchi Baku16/08/25Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
1–1Şamaxı FK07/04/25Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
0–2Neftchi Baku31/01/25Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
1–0Şamaxı FK08/11/24Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
2–2Şamaxı FK31/08/24Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
0–0Neftchi Baku14/05/23Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
1–1Şamaxı FK12/03/23Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
0–1Neftchi Baku23/12/22Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
3–0Şamaxı FK07/08/22Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
0–1Neftchi Baku09/04/22Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
1–2Neftchi Baku19/02/22Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
3–1Şamaxı FK06/11/21Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
3–2Neftchi Baku19/09/21Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
3–0Şamaxı FK03/05/21Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
0–3Neftchi Baku08/03/21Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
3–1Şamaxı FK24/12/20Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
2–1Şamaxı FK24/10/20Neftchi Baku
Şamaxı FK
0–1Neftchi Baku16/02/20Şamaxı FK
Neftchi Baku
3–1Şamaxı FKTeam Insights
Şamaxı FK- ●Şamaxı FK failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Şamaxı FK have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Şamaxı FK have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Şamaxı FK have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Şamaxı FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Şamaxı FK have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Şamaxı FK's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Şamaxı FK's goals conceded were conceded away.
Neftchi Baku- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Neftchi Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Şamaxı FKLAImisli FK1–2
Imisli FK1–2WHSafa Baku3–2
Safa Baku3–2DAZira1–1
Zira1–1WHAraz2–1
Araz2–1DASumqayıt1–1
Sumqayıt1–1WAKapaz4–1
Kapaz4–1–HNeftchi Baku01/11
Neftchi Baku01/11–ASabah FA08/11
Sabah FA08/11–HTuran21/11
Turan21/11Neftchi BakuDHTuran1–1
Turan1–1DAQarabag3–3
Qarabag3–3DHSabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0WAQabala3–0
Qabala3–0WAImisli FK3–2
Imisli FK3–2WHSafa Baku4–1
Safa Baku4–1–AŞamaxı FK01/11
Şamaxı FK01/11–HKapaz06/11
Kapaz06/11–AAraz22/11
Araz22/11Top Scorers
Şamaxı FKR. Apolinario3 ⚽
A. Shuaibu2 ⚽
E. Adilkhanov2 ⚽
H. Ismayilov2 ⚽
U. Cahangirov1 ⚽
Jota1 ⚽
Neftchi BakuBreno Almeida11 ⚽
Gustavo Klismahn3 ⚽
A. Skribek2 ⚽
L. Tupta2 ⚽
A. Salyanskiy1 ⚽
B. Sambou1 ⚽
Cards Given
Şamaxı FKE. Rustamov3 🟨
A. Moumini3 🟨
A. Bouali2 🟨
F. Marques2 🟨
Jota2 🟨
R. Apolinario2 🟨
Neftchi BakuGustavo Klismahn4 🟨
F. Sacko4 🟨
E. Badalov4 🟨
L. Tupta3 🟨
A. Gravillon2 🟨
A. Skribek2 🟨