Sumqayıt vs Safa Baku — Premyer Liqa
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Sumqayıt and Safa Baku meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Sumqayıt have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 2.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Safa Baku have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Sumqayıt and 1.19 for Safa Baku. The models give Sumqayıt a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Safa Baku win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Sumqayıt
Safa BakuHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sumqayıt | Home | Away | Safa Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 80% | 83% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 20% | 17% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Sumqayıt | Home | Away | Safa Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 20% | 67% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sumqayıt | Safa Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 30% |
| BTTS | 73% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sumqayıt | Safa Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 9% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 70% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Sumqayıt (H)
Araz2–1
Qabala4–1
Şamaxı FK1–1
Qarabag0–1
Neftchi Baku1–3Qarabag3–4Safa Baku (A)Şamaxı FK2–3Qarabag0–1Neftchi Baku1–4Qabala1–0
Zira0–2
Zaqatala1–2Team Insights
Sumqayıt- ●Sumqayıt failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Sumqayıt have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Sumqayıt have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Sumqayıt have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sumqayıt failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sumqayıt failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Sumqayıt's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Sumqayıt's points have been earned at home.
- ●Sumqayıt have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Sumqayıt have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Safa Baku- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
SumqayıtZira2–3Araz2–1Qabala4–1
Kapaz1–1Şamaxı FK1–1
Turan1–2Safa Baku02/11
Imisli FK08/11
Sabah FA20/11Safa BakuKapaz1–2Şamaxı FK2–3Turan0–1Qarabag0–1Sabah FA0–3Neftchi Baku1–4Sumqayıt02/11Araz07/11Qabala21/11Top Scorers
SumqayıtSafa BakuCards Given
SumqayıtSafa Baku