Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz — Premyer Liqa
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Neftchi Baku and Kapaz meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Neftchi Baku have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Kapaz have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Neftchi Baku and 0.87 for Kapaz. The models give Neftchi Baku a 68% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Kapaz win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | Kapaz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 71% | 71% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 60% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | Kapaz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 57% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 14% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 20% | 43% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS | 42% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 58% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 34 matches
Team Insights
- ●Neftchi Baku have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●60% of Neftchi Baku's points have been earned away.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●100% of Kapaz's points have been earned at home.