Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz — Premyer Liqa
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Neftchi Baku and Kapaz meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Neftchi Baku have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Kapaz have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Neftchi Baku and 1.03 for Kapaz. The models give Neftchi Baku a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Kapaz win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Neftchi Baku—
Kapaz1º
Position
5º
2.10
PPG
1.89
60%
Win %
56%
2.50
Goals / game
1.11
1.10
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
31%
Clean sheet %
42%
63%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Neftchi Baku
Home (4)
—
Kapaz
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
67%
2.50
Goals / game
1.33
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
40%
29%
Clean sheet %
40%
57%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | Kapaz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 71% | 78% | 83% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 43% | 67% | 25% | 14% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 29% | 67% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 29% | 22% | 17% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | Kapaz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 71% | 67% | 58% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 14% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 29% | 33% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 58% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Neftchi Baku (H)D
Turan1–1
Turan1–1D
Sabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0W
Safa Baku4–1
Safa Baku4–1W
Araz5–0
Araz5–0L
Dinamo Minsk2–4
Dinamo Minsk2–4L
NK Osijek0–1
NK Osijek0–1Kapaz (A)WSafa Baku2–1
Safa Baku2–1WAraz2–0
Araz2–0LSabah FA0–2
Sabah FA0–2LAraz0–2
Araz0–2WSabah FA1–0
Sabah FA1–0L
Şamaxı FK0–2
Şamaxı FK0–2Head to Head · 34 matches
20
Neftchi Baku
59%
8
Draws
24%
6
Kapaz
18%
71%
Over 1.5
24/34
44%
Over 2.5
15/34
32%
Over 3.5
11/34
47%
BTTS
16/34
23/05/26Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
0–1Neftchi Baku15/02/26Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
1–3Neftchi Baku01/11/25Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
5–1Kapaz04/05/25Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
2–2Kapaz05/03/25Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
1–0Neftchi Baku28/02/25Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
1–0Kapaz05/02/25Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
0–2Neftchi Baku15/12/24Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
2–1Kapaz04/10/24Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
4–3Neftchi Baku10/05/24Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
5–1Kapaz09/03/24Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
3–3Neftchi Baku24/12/23Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
2–0Kapaz06/08/23Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
1–0Neftchi Baku21/05/23Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
1–3Neftchi Baku16/03/23Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
2–2Kapaz16/10/22Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
0–2Neftchi Baku14/08/22Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
5–2Kapaz20/05/18Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
1–2Neftchi Baku11/02/18Kapaz
Neftchi Baku
1–0Kapaz21/10/17Neftchi Baku
Kapaz
0–1Neftchi BakuTeam Insights
Neftchi Baku- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●82% of Neftchi Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●62% of Neftchi Baku's points have been earned away.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Kapaz- ●Kapaz have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Kapaz have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kapaz have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kapaz have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Kapaz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Neftchi BakuWAŞamaxı FK3–2
Şamaxı FK3–2DHTuran1–1
Turan1–1DA
Qarabag3–3
Qarabag3–3DHSabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0WA
Qabala3–0
Qabala3–0WA
Imisli FK3–2
Imisli FK3–2–HKapaz06/11
Kapaz06/11–AAraz22/11
Araz22/11–H
Zira28/11
Zira28/11KapazWHImisli FK1–0
Imisli FK1–0WASafa Baku2–1
Safa Baku2–1DHZira1–1
Zira1–1WAAraz2–0
Araz2–0DH
Sumqayıt1–1
Sumqayıt1–1WHQabala1–0
Qabala1–0–ANeftchi Baku06/11
Neftchi Baku06/11–HQarabag22/11
Qarabag22/11–ATuran28/11
Turan28/11Top Scorers
Neftchi BakuBreno Almeida12 ⚽
Gustavo Klismahn4 ⚽
L. Tupta2 ⚽
A. Akinyemi2 ⚽
A. Skribek2 ⚽
A. Salyanskiy1 ⚽
KapazBenito3 ⚽
V. Stina2 ⚽
H. Babayev1 ⚽
K. Kalunga1 ⚽
N. Alasgarov1 ⚽
R. Haciyev1 ⚽
Cards Given
Neftchi BakuGustavo Klismahn4 🟨
F. Sacko4 🟨
E. Badalov4 🟨
L. Tupta3 🟨
A. Gravillon2 🟨
A. Skribek2 🟨
KapazD. Verdasca3 🟨
U. Abbasov2 🟨
M. Ba2 🟨
D. Acquah2 🟨
N. Alasgarov2 🟨
D. Domgjoni1 🟨