Safa Baku vs Araz — Premyer Liqa
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Safa Baku and Araz meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Safa Baku have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Araz have won 9% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Safa Baku and 1.30 for Araz. The models give Safa Baku a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Araz win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Safa BakuArazHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Araz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 40% | 67% | 64% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 60% | 33% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Safa Baku | Home | Away | Araz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 60% | 50% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Safa Baku | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS | 45% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Safa Baku | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 73% | 64% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 82% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Safa Baku (H)
Ağstafa Gəncləri9–2
Kapaz1–2
Turan0–1
Sabah FA0–3
Imisli FK0–1
Cəbrayıl1–0Araz (A)
Şimal6–0
Sumqayıt1–2
Şamaxı FK1–2
Qarabag2–3
Neftchi Baku0–5Sumqayıt1–2Team Insights
Safa Baku- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Safa Baku have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Araz- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Araz have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Araz have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Safa BakuSumqayıt1–1Kapaz1–2Şamaxı FK2–3Turan0–1Qarabag0–1Sabah FA0–3Araz07/11
Qabala21/11Imisli FK28/11Araz
Zira2–2Qabala1–2Sumqayıt1–2Kapaz0–2Şamaxı FK1–2Turan2–2Safa Baku07/11Neftchi Baku22/11Sabah FA28/11Top Scorers
Safa BakuArazCards Given
Safa BakuAraz