Araz vs Neftchi Baku — Premyer Liqa
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Araz and Neftchi Baku meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Araz have recorded 0 wins from 7 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Neftchi Baku have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Araz and 1.45 for Neftchi Baku. The models give Araz a 22% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Neftchi Baku win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
ArazNeftchi BakuHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Araz | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 25% | 67% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 75% | 33% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Araz | Home | Away | Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 75% | 100% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 100% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 67% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Araz | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 31% |
| BTTS | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Araz | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Araz (H)
Kapaz0–2
Turan2–2
Sabah FA0–1
Imisli FK0–0
Zira3–2Kapaz2–0Neftchi Baku (A)
Qabala3–0Imisli FK3–2Zira0–1
Sumqayıt3–1
Dinamo Minsk1–0
Radnicki NIS3–0Head to Head · 12 matches
ArazArazNeftchi BakuArazArazNeftchi BakuArazNeftchi BakuArazNeftchi BakuArazNeftchi BakuTeam Insights
Araz- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Araz have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Araz have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Araz's goals conceded were conceded away.
Neftchi Baku- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ArazKapaz0–2
Şamaxı FK1–2Turan2–2
Qarabag2–3Sabah FA0–1Neftchi Baku0–5Sumqayıt16/10Qabala23/10Zira31/10Neftchi BakuSabah FA0–0Qabala3–0Imisli FK3–2
Safa Baku4–1Zira0–1Araz5–0Qarabag17/10Turan24/10Şamaxı FK31/10Top Scorers
ArazNeftchi BakuCards Given
ArazNeftchi Baku