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Kapaz vs Qarabag — Premyer Liqa

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Kapaz
Kapaz
6º · 1.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 4h
vs
–
–
Qarabag
Qarabag
3º · 2.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 41d 4h
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Kapaz and Qarabag meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Kapaz have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Qarabag have won 65% of their 20 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 55%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Kapaz and 1.21 for Qarabag. The models give Kapaz a 25% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Qarabag win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Kapaz
—
Qarabag
6º
Position
3º
1.67
PPG
2.67
50%
Win %
83%
1.00
Goals / game
1.83
1.17
Conceded / game
0.67
38%
BTTS %
35%
50%
Clean sheet %
55%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0
Avg fouls
9.3
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%

Home vs Away

Kapaz
Home (4)
—
Qarabag
Away (3)
1.75
PPG
2.33
50%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.25
Conceded / game
0.33
50%
BTTS %
27%
50%
Clean sheet %
55%
25%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%

Goals Scored

KapazHomeAwayQarabagHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%100%50%80%89%73%
Over 1.5 Scored13%0%25%55%67%45%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%40%44%36%
Failed To Score25%0%50%20%11%27%

Goals Conceded

KapazHomeAwayQarabagHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%50%50%45%44%45%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%25%50%15%33%0%
Over 2.5 Conceded25%25%25%10%22%0%
Clean Sheets50%50%50%55%56%55%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

KapazQarabag
Over 0.588%90%
Over 1.563%65%
Over 2.525%50%
Over 3.525%40%
Over 4.513%20%
BTTS38%35%
BTTS & Win0%20%
BTTS & Draw13%5%
BTTS & Over 2.525%30%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

KapazQarabag
Win 1st Half13%35%
Draw 1st Half50%45%
Loss 1st Half38%20%
Scored 1st Half13%45%
Conceded 1st Half38%30%
Win 2nd Half50%55%
Draw 2nd Half25%35%
Loss 2nd Half25%10%
Scored 2nd Half75%75%
Conceded 2nd Half38%20%
Over 0.5 HT50%65%
Over 1.5 HT25%30%

Recent Venue Form

Kapaz (H)
DSumqayıt1–1
WQabala1–0
LŞamaxı FK1–4
WTuran1–0
LNeftchi Baku0–1
WSumqayıt2–1
Qarabag (A)
WImisli FK2–0
DZira1–1
WSumqayıt1–0
WTwente1–0
LDynamo Kyiv0–1
DCSKA Sofia0–0

Team Corners

Team CornersKapazQarabag
Corners Earned / Match0.06.4
Corners Against / Match0.02.9
Over 2.5 Corners For0%71%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%57%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%57%
Over 2.5 Corners Against0%43%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%29%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%29%

Head to Head · 31 matches

2
Kapaz
6%
5
Draws
16%
24
Qarabag
77%
68%
Over 1.5
21/31
48%
Over 2.5
15/31
26%
Over 3.5
8/31
42%
BTTS
13/31
20/03/26
Kapaz
1–0
Qarabag
24/01/26
Qarabag
0–2
Kapaz
04/10/25
Qarabag
1–0
Kapaz
18/05/25
Qarabag
3–0
Kapaz
15/03/25
Kapaz
0–0
Qarabag
18/10/24
Kapaz
0–5
Qarabag
09/08/24
Qarabag
3–0
Kapaz
29/03/24
Kapaz
1–6
Qarabag
27/01/24
Kapaz
1–2
Qarabag
04/11/23
Qarabag
7–1
Kapaz
27/08/23
Qarabag
1–1
Kapaz
09/04/23
Qarabag
3–1
Kapaz
04/02/23
Kapaz
1–1
Qarabag
06/11/22
Qarabag
3–1
Kapaz
01/09/22
Kapaz
0–1
Qarabag
14/04/18
Kapaz
0–1
Qarabag
25/02/18
Qarabag
1–0
Kapaz
05/11/17
Kapaz
0–2
Qarabag
17/09/17
Qarabag
2–0
Kapaz
02/04/17
Qarabag
2–1
Kapaz
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku7511+1316
2Sabah FA6510+1316
3Qarabag6510+716
4Turan7421+314
5Zira7322-111
6Kapaz6312-110
7Şamaxı FK7241+210
8Sumqayıt6123-15
9Qabala7115-84
10Imisli FK7115-74
11Safa Baku7106-103
12Araz7025-102

Team Insights

Kapaz
  • ●Kapaz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Qarabag
  • ●Qarabag have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Qarabag have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●64% of Qarabag's goals have been scored at home.
WAAraz12º2–0
DHSumqayıt8º1–1
WHQabala9º1–0
LHŞamaxı FK7º1–4
WHTuran4º1–0
LASabah FA2º0–2
LHNeftchi Baku4º0–1
LAAraz6º0–2
WASabah FA1º1–0
WHSumqayıt7º2–1
WAImisli FK10º2–0
WHSafa Baku11º1–0
DAZira5º1–1
WHAraz12º3–2
WASumqayıt8º1–0
LHTwente35º1–4
LHTwente10º1–4
WATwente35º1–0
WATwente10º1–0
WHŞamaxı FK7º3–1

Season Schedule

Kapaz
WAAraz2–0
DHSumqayıt1–1
WHQabala1–0
LHŞamaxı FK1–4
WHTuran1–0
LASabah FA0–2
–HZira18/10
–ASafa Baku24/10
–HImisli FK31/10
Qarabag
WAImisli FK2–0
WHSafa Baku1–0
DAZira1–1
WHAraz3–2
WASumqayıt1–0
WHŞamaxı FK3–1
–HNeftchi Baku17/10
–ASabah FA25/10
–AQabala31/10

Top Scorers

Kapaz
V. Stina2 ⚽
Benito1 ⚽
D. Acquah1 ⚽
K. Kalunga1 ⚽
R. Haciyev1 ⚽
R. Ohori1 ⚽
Qarabag
J. Mouaddib6 ⚽
O. Kashchuk5 ⚽
R. Cephas4 ⚽
J. Montiel4 ⚽
M. Jankovic4 ⚽
Kady Borges3 ⚽

Cards Given

Kapaz
D. Verdasca3 🟨
D. Acquah2 🟨
M. Ba2 🟨
Benito1 🟨
M. Abuladze1 🟨
N. Alasgarov1 🟨
Qarabag
M. Jankovic4 🟨
Matheus Silva3 🟨
B. Varkonyi3 🟨
C. Makreckis2 🟨
B. Langa2 🟨
S. Lobato2 🟨