Kapaz vs Qarabag — Premyer Liqa
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Kapaz and Qarabag meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Kapaz have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Qarabag have won 65% of their 20 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 55%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Kapaz and 1.21 for Qarabag. The models give Kapaz a 25% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Qarabag win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Kapaz | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 89% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 55% | 67% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 44% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 11% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Kapaz | Home | Away | Qarabag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 10% | 22% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 55% | 56% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kapaz | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS | 38% | 35% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kapaz | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kapaz | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 29% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
Team Insights
- ●Kapaz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kapaz have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Qarabag have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Qarabag's goals have been scored at home.

