MatchPulse

Safa Baku vs Qabala — Premyer Liqa

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Safa Baku
Safa Baku
11º · 0.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 5h
vs
–
–
Qabala
Qabala
9º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 4h
ASK Arena·Baku·Azerbaijan·8,152
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Safa Baku and Qabala meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Safa Baku have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Qabala have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Safa Baku and 1.05 for Qabala. The models give Safa Baku a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Qabala win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

Safa Baku
—
Qabala
11º
Position
9º
0.38
PPG
0.50
13%
Win %
13%
0.50
Goals / game
0.38
1.88
Conceded / game
1.88
25%
BTTS %
33%
13%
Clean sheet %
11%
38%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Safa Baku
Home (3)
—
Qabala
Away (3)
0.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.00
Goals / game
0.33
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
0%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Safa BakuHomeAwayQabalaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored38%0%60%33%33%33%
Over 1.5 Scored13%0%20%22%33%0%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%11%17%0%
Failed To Score63%100%40%67%67%67%

Goals Conceded

Safa BakuHomeAwayQabalaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded88%100%80%89%83%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded50%33%60%33%33%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded38%33%40%33%33%33%
Clean Sheets13%0%20%11%17%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Safa BakuQabala
Over 0.5100%89%
Over 1.550%56%
Over 2.538%56%
Over 3.525%33%
Over 4.525%11%
BTTS25%33%
BTTS & Win0%22%
BTTS & Draw0%0%
BTTS & Over 2.525%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%22%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Safa BakuQabala
Win 1st Half13%11%
Draw 1st Half38%44%
Loss 1st Half50%44%
Scored 1st Half13%33%
Conceded 1st Half50%56%
Win 2nd Half13%11%
Draw 2nd Half13%33%
Loss 2nd Half75%56%
Scored 2nd Half38%22%
Conceded 2nd Half75%67%
Over 0.5 HT63%67%
Over 1.5 HT13%33%

Recent Venue Form

Safa Baku (H)
LTuran0–1
LSabah FA0–3
LImisli FK0–1
WCəbrayıl1–0
DŞimal0–0
WMOIK3–0
Qabala (A)
LSumqayıt1–4
LKapaz0–1
LTuran0–1
WKarvan2–1
LZira0–1
LSumqayıt0–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Safa Baku
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Qabala
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
22/08/26
Qabala
0–1
Safa Baku
04/12/25
Qabala
2–1
Safa Baku
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Sabah FA7610+1719
2Neftchi Baku8521+1317
3Qarabag7520+717
4Turan7421+314
5Şamaxı FK8341+313
6Zira7322-111
7Kapaz6312-110
8Sumqayıt722308
9Qabala8116-124
10Imisli FK7115-74
11Safa Baku8107-113
12Araz8026-112

Team Insights

Safa Baku
  • ●Safa Baku have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Safa Baku have lost their last 6 matches.
  • ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Safa Baku have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Safa Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Safa Baku have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Safa Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
Qabala
  • ●Qabala have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Qabala have lost their last 4 matches.
  • ●Qabala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Qabala have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Qabala have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Qabala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
LAŞamaxı FK5º2–3
LHTuran4º0–1
LAQarabag3º0–1
LHSabah FA1º0–3
LANeftchi Baku2º1–4
LHImisli FK10º0–1
WAQabala9º1–0
LAZira6º0–2
LAZaqatala7º1–2
WHCəbrayıl8º1–0
LHSabah FA1º0–4
LASumqayıt8º1–4
LHNeftchi Baku2º0–3
LAKapaz7º0–1
WHImisli FK10º2–1
DHŞamaxı FK5º0–0
LHSafa Baku11º0–1
LATuran4º0–1
WHŞamaxı FK8º3–1

Season Schedule

Safa Baku
LAŞamaxı FK2–3
LHTuran0–1
LAQarabag0–1
LHSabah FA0–3
LANeftchi Baku1–4
LHImisli FK0–1
–HKapaz24/10
–ASumqayıt31/10
–HAraz07/11
Qabala
LHSabah FA0–4
LASumqayıt1–4
LHNeftchi Baku0–3
LAKapaz0–1
WHImisli FK2–1
DHŞamaxı FK0–0
–AAraz23/10
–HQarabag31/10
–AZira07/11

Top Scorers

Safa Baku
E. Cafarov1 ⚽
M. Guel1 ⚽
M. Musayev1 ⚽
R. Huseynli1 ⚽
Qabala
D. J. Massoumou1 ⚽
I. Akinade1 ⚽
K. Mabea1 ⚽
K. Rossi1 ⚽
Q. Ramazanov1 ⚽
S. Shahniyarov1 ⚽

Cards Given

Safa Baku
C. Mamengi3 🟨
F. Yusifli3 🟨
A. Dragu2 🟨
M. Jarjue2 🟨
O. Diaw1 🟨
Luis Felipe1 🟨
Qabala
K. Rossi2 🟨
S. Shahniyarov2 🟨
I. Amoah1 🟨
E. Ahmadov1 🟨
N. Monzango1 🟨
J. Sierra1 🟨