Neftchi Baku vs Zira — Premyer Liqa
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Neftchi Baku and Zira meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Neftchi Baku have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Zira have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Neftchi Baku and 0.90 for Zira. The models give Neftchi Baku a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Zira win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Neftchi Baku—
Zira2º
Position
5º
2.00
PPG
1.67
56%
Win %
44%
2.44
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
47%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Neftchi Baku
Home (4)
—
Zira
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.33
50%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
0.33
0.50
Conceded / game
2.33
57%
BTTS %
43%
29%
Clean sheet %
14%
57%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | Zira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 71% | 75% | 81% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 43% | 63% | 44% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 47% | 29% | 63% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 29% | 25% | 19% | 0% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi Baku | Home | Away | Zira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 71% | 63% | 75% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 25% | 31% | 22% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 14% | 13% | 25% | 11% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 29% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi Baku | Zira | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS | 47% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi Baku | Zira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 7% | 6% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Neftchi Baku (H)D
Turan1–1
Turan1–1D
Sabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0W
Safa Baku4–1
Safa Baku4–1W
Araz5–0
Araz5–0L
Dinamo Minsk2–4
Dinamo Minsk2–4L
NK Osijek0–1
NK Osijek0–1Zira (A)D
Kapaz1–1
Kapaz1–1LTuran0–1
Turan0–1LSabah FA0–5
Sabah FA0–5L
Paide0–1
Paide0–1W
Torpedo Kutaisi3–0
Torpedo Kutaisi3–0LAraz2–3
Araz2–3Head to Head · 53 matches
17
Neftchi Baku
32%
16
Draws
30%
20
Zira
38%
60%
Over 1.5
32/53
42%
Over 2.5
22/53
15%
Over 3.5
8/53
42%
BTTS
22/53
30/08/26Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–0Neftchi Baku17/04/26Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–1Neftchi Baku23/01/26Zira
Neftchi Baku
0–0Zira02/12/25Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–0Neftchi Baku03/10/25Neftchi Baku
Zira
2–2Neftchi Baku13/04/25Zira
Neftchi Baku
2–4Zira10/02/25Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–2Neftchi Baku23/11/24Zira
Neftchi Baku
2–1Zira15/09/24Neftchi Baku
Zira
2–0Neftchi Baku20/04/24Neftchi Baku
Zira
3–1Neftchi Baku18/02/24Zira
Neftchi Baku
1–0Zira03/12/23Zira
Neftchi Baku
1–0Zira23/09/23Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–1Neftchi Baku01/04/23Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–1Neftchi Baku01/02/23Zira
Neftchi Baku
1–0Zira20/12/22Zira
Neftchi Baku
3–1Zira08/12/22Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–0Neftchi Baku29/10/22Neftchi Baku
Zira
0–3Neftchi Baku26/08/22Zira
Neftchi Baku
2–1Zira15/05/22Neftchi Baku
Zira
1–0Neftchi BakuTeam Insights
Neftchi Baku- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Neftchi Baku have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Neftchi Baku's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Neftchi Baku have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Zira- ●Zira have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Zira failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Zira have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Zira have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Zira failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Zira have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●92% of Zira's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Zira's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Neftchi BakuDHTuran1–1
Turan1–1DA
Qarabag3–3
Qarabag3–3DHSabah FA0–0
Sabah FA0–0WA
Qabala3–0
Qabala3–0WA
Imisli FK3–2
Imisli FK3–2WHSafa Baku4–1
Safa Baku4–1–A
Şamaxı FK01/11
Şamaxı FK01/11–HKapaz06/11
Kapaz06/11–AAraz22/11
Araz22/11ZiraWH
Sumqayıt3–2
Sumqayıt3–2DAKapaz1–1
Kapaz1–1DHŞamaxı FK1–1
Şamaxı FK1–1LATuran0–1
Turan0–1DHQarabag1–1
Qarabag1–1LASabah FA0–5
Sabah FA0–5–AAraz31/10
Araz31/10–HQabala07/11
Qabala07/11–AImisli FK20/11
Imisli FK20/11Top Scorers
Neftchi BakuBreno Almeida11 ⚽
Gustavo Klismahn3 ⚽
A. Skribek2 ⚽
L. Tupta2 ⚽
A. Salyanskiy1 ⚽
B. Sambou1 ⚽
ZiraE. Aydin5 ⚽
Ruan Renato5 ⚽
D. Volkovi4 ⚽
I. Djibrilla2 ⚽
R. Muradov2 ⚽
A. Mutsinzi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Neftchi BakuGustavo Klismahn4 🟨
F. Sacko4 🟨
E. Badalov4 🟨
L. Tupta3 🟨
A. Gravillon2 🟨
A. Skribek2 🟨
ZiraGuima4 🟨
Ruan Renato3 🟨
E. Alicanov2 🟨
A. Seydiyev2 🟨
Q. Aliyev2 🟨
H. Hacyly2 🟨