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Araz vs Qarabag — Premyer Liqa

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Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 14
Araz
Araz
12º · 0.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 5h
vs
–
–
Qarabag
Qarabag
3º · 2.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 2h
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Araz and Qarabag meet in the Premyer Liqa 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Araz have recorded 1 wins from 11 matches this season (9% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Qarabag have won 57% of their 23 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 57%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.93 for Araz and 1.22 for Qarabag. The models give Araz a 22% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Qarabag win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.

Season Statistics

Araz
—
Qarabag
12º
Position
3º
0.30
PPG
2.11
0%
Win %
56%
0.90
Goals / game
1.56
2.10
Conceded / game
0.78
55%
BTTS %
35%
18%
Clean sheet %
57%
73%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0
Avg fouls
9.3
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%

Home vs Away

Araz
Home (6)
—
Qarabag
Away (5)
0.50
PPG
1.80
0%
Win %
40%
0.83
Goals / game
0.80
1.50
Conceded / game
0.20
50%
BTTS %
23%
17%
Clean sheet %
62%
50%
Over 2.5 %
31%
0.0
Avg corners
6.4
0.0
Avg shots
10.4
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
0.0%
Avg possession
58.0%

Goals Scored

ArazHomeAwayQarabagHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%50%80%74%90%62%
Over 1.5 Scored36%33%40%52%70%38%
Over 2.5 Scored9%0%20%39%50%31%
Failed To Score36%50%20%26%10%38%

Goals Conceded

ArazHomeAwayQarabagHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%83%80%43%50%38%
Over 1.5 Conceded73%67%80%17%40%0%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%0%40%13%30%0%
Clean Sheets18%17%20%57%50%62%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ArazQarabag
Over 0.591%83%
Over 1.582%61%
Over 2.573%48%
Over 3.545%39%
Over 4.527%22%
BTTS55%35%
BTTS & Win0%17%
BTTS & Draw18%9%
BTTS & Over 2.555%30%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ArazQarabag
Win 1st Half36%30%
Draw 1st Half27%48%
Loss 1st Half36%22%
Scored 1st Half55%43%
Conceded 1st Half45%30%
Win 2nd Half9%52%
Draw 2nd Half27%39%
Loss 2nd Half64%9%
Scored 2nd Half36%70%
Conceded 2nd Half73%22%
Over 0.5 HT82%61%
Over 1.5 HT27%30%

Recent Venue Form

Araz (H)
DZira2–2
LQabala1–2
LKapaz0–2
DTuran2–2
LSabah FA0–1
DImisli FK0–0
Qarabag (A)
DQabala0–0
DSabah FA0–0
WImisli FK2–0
DZira1–1
WSumqayıt1–0
WTwente1–0

Team Corners

Team CornersArazQarabag
Corners Earned / Match0.06.4
Corners Against / Match0.02.9
Over 2.5 Corners For0%71%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%57%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%57%
Over 2.5 Corners Against0%43%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%29%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%29%

Head to Head · 14 matches

2
Araz
14%
1
Draws
7%
11
Qarabag
79%
93%
Over 1.5
13/14
79%
Over 2.5
11/14
57%
Over 3.5
8/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
06/09/26
Qarabag
3–2
Araz
08/03/26
Qarabag
6–0
Araz
14/12/25
Qarabag
5–1
Araz
21/09/25
Araz
0–5
Qarabag
11/05/25
Qarabag
2–0
Araz
23/04/25
Qarabag
3–0
Araz
02/04/25
Araz
1–0
Qarabag
08/03/25
Araz
1–3
Qarabag
22/12/24
Qarabag
2–0
Araz
02/08/24
Araz
1–4
Qarabag
26/05/24
Araz
2–2
Qarabag
23/01/24
Qarabag
3–1
Araz
30/10/23
Araz
2–1
Qarabag
20/08/23
Qarabag
2–1
Araz
Premyer Liqa
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku10631+1421
2Sabah FA9621+1620
3Qarabag9540+719
4Turan10532+318
5Kapaz9522+117
6Zira10442016
7Şamaxı FK10343+113
8Imisli FK10316-610
9Sumqayıt9234-19
10Qabala10226-118
11Safa Baku10118-124
12Araz10037-123

Team Insights

Araz
  • ●Araz have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
  • ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Araz have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Araz have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Araz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Araz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Araz have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Qarabag
  • ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
  • ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Qarabag have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Qarabag have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●71% of Qarabag's goals have been scored at home.
ArazAraz
DHZira6º2–2
WAŞimal6–0
LHQabala10º1–2
LASumqayıt9º1–2
LHKapaz5º0–2
LAŞamaxı FK7º1–2
DHTuran4º2–2
LAQarabag3º2–3
LHSabah FA2º0–1
LANeftchi Baku1º0–5
QarabagQarabag
DAQabala10º0–0
DASabah FA2º0–0
DHNeftchi Baku1º3–3
WAImisli FK8º2–0
WHSafa Baku11º1–0
DAZira6º1–1
WHAraz12º3–2
WASumqayıt9º1–0
LHTwente35º1–4
LHTwente5º1–4

Season Schedule

Araz
DHZira2–2
LHQabala1–2
LASumqayıt1–2
LHKapaz0–2
LAŞamaxı FK1–2
DHTuran2–2
–ASafa Baku07/11
–HNeftchi Baku22/11
–ASabah FA28/11
Qarabag
DAQabala0–0
DASabah FA0–0
DHNeftchi Baku3–3
WAImisli FK2–0
WHSafa Baku1–0
DAZira1–1
–HTuran06/11
–AKapaz22/11
–HSumqayıt28/11

Top Scorers

Araz
A. Salyanskiy7 ⚽
A. Rzayev1 ⚽
L. Dumancic1 ⚽
M. Mara1 ⚽
P. Andrade1 ⚽
R. Muradov1 ⚽
Qarabag
O. Kashchuk6 ⚽
J. Mouaddib6 ⚽
R. Cephas5 ⚽
Kady Borges4 ⚽
J. Montiel4 ⚽
M. Jankovic4 ⚽

Cards Given

Araz
M. Kane5 🟨
A. Salyanskiy4 🟨
M. Mara3 🟨
P. Andrade2 🟨
A. Fernandez2 🟨
C. Nuriyev1 🟨
Qarabag
M. Jankovic4 🟨
Matheus Silva3 🟨
B. Varkonyi3 🟨
B. Langa2 🟨
C. Makreckis2 🟨
S. Lobato2 🟨